Inter Milan vs. Arsenal prediction, odds, betting tips and best bets for Champions League match

Having seen their Premier League title hopes slip further at the weekend, Arsenal must now refocus to navigate a difficult Champions League clash as the Gunners visit Italian giants Inter on Wednesday.

The Gunners dropped points for the fifth time in 10 league games as they went down 1-0 to Newcastle, able to keep all 11 players on the pitch for the 90 minutes but unable to generate much attacking firepower. It saw them drop to fifth in the table, now a full seven points behind leaders Liverpool.

They’re in a reasonably strong Champions League position with seven points from their first three games, but European road games have continued to frustrate Mikel Arteta over the years and that’s as tough as it gets.

After reaching the Champions League final two seasons ago and winning the Scudetto last year, Inter are in a period of revival on both the domestic and European stage. They sit just one point off the top of the Serie A standings and are also among the all-important top eight in the Champions League table, having yet to concede a single goal in European play this season.

MORE: How to watch Inter Milan vs. Arsenal in the Champions League

Inter Milan vs Arsenal prediction, odds

• Money line lean: Inter (+160)
• Score Prediction: Inter 2-0 Arsenal

To put it bluntly, Arsenal have been absolutely terrible away from home in European competition under Mikel Arteta.

Since the Spaniard took over in December 2019, Arsenal have won less than half of their European home games (9 out of 19), with eight of their nine wins coming in the Europa League. In the Champions League last season and this season combined, they have won just one (at Sevilla last October) of their six away games, lost three and drawn two.

Inter, meanwhile, are yet to concede a goal in three Champions League games this season, including the heroic performance away at Man City. At home in European play, Inter have conceded just six goals in 11 home games since the start of the 2022/23 season, with five of those coming in a 2-0 loss to Bayern to begin the 2022 group stage and a 3-3- loss. draw with Benfica in the quarter-finals, with the aggregate victory mostly complete. Remove the two games and that’s it a goal conceded in their last nine European home games.

	BetMGM (USA)
Inter Milan wins	+160
Draw	+210
Arsenal win	+185
Both teams to score	Y: -140 N: +100
Over/Under 2.5 goals	O: -105 U: -130
Inter Milan -0.5 goals	+145
Arsenal +0.5 goals	-210

Inter Milan vs Arsenal match facts

• Date: Wednesday 6 November 2024
• Kickoff time: 9pm local (3pm ET / 12pm PT)
• Location: San Siro (Milan, Italy)
• Judge: Istvan Kovacs (ROM)
• Last meeting: Inter 1-5 Arsenal (25 Nov 2003 | Champions League)

MORE: A complete guide to betting on soccer in the United States

Inter Milan vs. Arsenal’s best offer

• Pick: Scoreless first half (listed as “1st half result — draw and under 1.5 goals in total”)
• Odds: +160 (BetMGM)

No one in the Premier League has faced fewer shots in the first half of games than Arsenal. No one in Serie A has faced fewer shots in the first half of matches than Inter.

Against Man City in their scoreless draw, Inter held their Premier League opponents to under 1.0 xG in the first half, and actually outscored City 10-9, with just four combined shots on target between the two sides and one combined big chance.

Neither team will be keen to open up the attack through the opening 45 minutes, with Arsenal likely to be happy to get out of the San Siro with a draw and Inter not wanting to risk falling behind unnecessarily. Unless there’s a fluky goal or a moment of brilliance (which, to be fair, is certainly possible), this game will reach the break without an opener.

Inter Milan vs Arsenal prop betting

• Pick: Marcus Thuram to score or assist a goal
• Odds: +160 (FanDuel)

• Pick: Marcus Thuram 2+ shots on goal
• Odds: +290 (FanDuel)

Nobody needs a goal over the last month more than Marcus Thuram. The France international has yet to truly become a consistent threat in front of goal, but he remains a constant influence in the attacking third regardless of whether he puts the ball in the net.

After an explosive start to the season, things have dried up a bit for Thuram, but that can easily be chalked up to simple random variance rather than a sign of a downturn. He came off the bench to score a late winner against Young Boys in their last Champions League game and has hit two or more shots on target in three of his last five Serie A appearances. What’s more, five of his seven league goals and four of his five assists have come at the San Siro.

While Lautaro Martinez is the club’s main goal threat during league play, he often takes a back seat to other individuals in the Champions League, whether in terms of design or performance. Marco Arnautovic started the Young Boys game up front in place of Thuram, but that proved to be a big mistake as he was rotten from open play and missed a penalty, so expect Thuram to come back into the XI here.