Premier League predictions and best bets: Nottingham Forest turn up Ange Postecoglou and Spurs | Football news

Our football betting expert Jones Knows is back to provide more Premier League insight and sees more misery for Tottenham at Nottingham Forest.

Manchester City vs Everton, Boxing Day, 12.30pm

To beat this Manchester City you need to be brave with the ball in transition and ruthless with your finishing.

Everton are not that team.

Sean Dyche’s men are a tough nut to crack but are woefully toothless in attack and have failed to score in six of their last seven Premier League games.

In that period, they have the lowest expected goals return of any team and have created the fewest chances. A goal should be enough for City to win this game – and boy do they need it.

The win to nil at 11/8 with Sky Bet is a good alternative to the outright 1/3 on a home win.

Score prediction: 1-0

Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace, Boxing Day, at 3 p.m

No team has made more tackles in the Premier League than Crystal Palace (709) since February 1 and this encounter could turn into a tackling frenzy.

Not only does Ismaila Sarr contribute from an attacking point of view, he also latches on to the ball with his tackle numbers skyrocketing in recent weeks.

He has made at least one tackle in six of his last seven appearances, for a total of 10 tackles. The fact that he is playing more centrally than he has in the past is seeing him encounter tight spaces and turnovers, resulting in more tackles being hit.

At 11/4 with Sky Bet for Sarr to register two or more tackles is a price to consider.

Score prediction: 2-1

Chelsea vs Fulham, Boxing Day, at 15.00 – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

Despite these two teams both heading here on the back of 0-0 draws, goals should be on the menu.

Chelsea’s matches this season have averaged 3.67 goals per game. game and Fulham have scored in every away game this season, including netting twice at Liverpool and Manchester City. The Boxing Day factor should also help the goals flow. In the last 18 Premier League games played on December 26, there has been an average of four goals per game. match.

Perhaps the festive atmosphere inside the stadium helps the game to flow at a higher tempo, which in turn increases the goal score. Who knows?

Anyway, 4/5 with Sky Bet on both teams to score and over 2.5 goals should give punters a good run.

Score Prediction: 3-1 | JONES KNOWS BEST BET: Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score (4/5 with Sky Bet)

Newcastle vs Aston Villa, Boxing Day, at 15.00 – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

Today’s game material this, involves two top teams on the back of impressive results. They will both be hoping to push for a top-four finish over the next few months, while looking up to shootout with Manchester City’s demise, Tottenham’s problems and Manchester United’s mediocrity.

If Villa play with their same ball in midfield as they did against Manchester City, then 11/4 with Sky Bet on an away win could prove to be a very good bet.

The axis of Amadou Onana and Boubacar Kamara, with Youri Tielemans playing advanced, worked a charm, and Tielemans especially flourished in that role. His results this season have been outstanding – he already has six assists and Bukayo Saka and Cole Palmer have created more chances than him this season (39).

It’s 4/1 with Sky Bet he grabs another assist.

Score prediction: 1-2

Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham, Boxing Day, at 15.00 – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

The progress of Nuno Espirito Santo’s side can be seen through the markets here, with Forest well-backed favorites at 13/10 to beat Tottenham, who are great fun but not a team to be taken seriously playing in this current style. One area Forest have the edge in this encounter is in central defence, where Nikola Milenkovic and Murillo form an elite partnership.

The manager has built a team around their strengths and Murillo in particular is making his mark – I’m not sure there is a better all-round central defender in the Premier League on current form.

His threat in the attacking third is also relevant from a betting perspective as his price of 5/2 with Sky Bet for two or more shots looks attractive. He has at least one shot in 11 of his last 12 games, hitting the two-or-more line four times. With Spurs’ set-piece vulnerabilities, he is likely to threaten the line of fire.

Score prediction: 2-1

Southampton vs West Ham, Boxing Day, at 15.00 – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

Saints fought their way to a hard-earned and deserved goalless draw at Fulham, restricting Marco Silva’s side to an expected goal figure of 1.04. It was a performance that had Ivan Juric’s stamp on it despite not being officially in charge. His work at Torino, where they finished ninth last season before leaving for Roma, was built on a solid foundation in defence. Only Inter Milan, Juventus and Bologna conceded fewer goals than Torino last season.

It’s obviously worth treading carefully with any Saints bets in the early stages of the new manager, and while the Premier League totals favor over 2.5 goal backs, the under 2.5 line here is at 6/ 5 with Sky Bet too big to pass up.

Score Prediction: 1-0

Wolves vs Manchester United, Boxing Day, 5.30pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

Analyzing the metrics behind both Wolves and Manchester United’s recent results is why the use of such data is an important and exciting part of making decisions about the outcome of football matches.

Wolves scored three goals from an expected goal figure of 1.11 from just eight shots, while United drew a clean sheet in their 3-0 home defeat to Bournemouth despite creating 2.28 expected goals from 28 shots.

This tells us despite winning 3-0 we can’t go too far with Wolves turning a corner and perhaps United are moving in the right direction despite taking just seven points from six Premier League games under Reuben Amorim.

The market certainly thinks so, as they have the away team priced at odds-on here at 19/20 with Sky Bet. It’s too short to back me, but it wouldn’t surprise me if United start to find some consistency in the coming weeks. Keep them on your side would be my advice.

Score prediction: 1-1

Liverpool vs Leicester, Boxing Day, at 20.00 – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

Cricket score, incoming?

This could be a repeat of what Newcastle did against Leicester a few weeks ago, beating them 4-0 in one of the most one-sided games of the season. Leicester were just camped out in their own half without the confidence or ability to sustain any pressure to get upfield. It was wave after wave and ended with Newcastle sending 27 shots, 11 on target and scoring four goals.

Trying to find bets in Liverpool’s handicap or their overall goal line is the correct punting strategy, but the prices are so tight and the market expects them to win this by three goals. It makes this game devilishly difficult to find any squeak of value. A big thrashing could be on the cards though, so Liverpool defying a -5 goal handicap could be live, although ideally I’d go bigger than 7/1 with Sky Bet.

Score prediction: 6-0

Brighton vs Brentford, Friday at 19.30

It’s the football betting guru derby. Owners Tony Bloom and Matthew Benham both made their fortunes by beating the betting markets using previous models and have now built two of the best run football empires in the world, particularly in Brighton’s case, and I want to be with them here.

Brentford have lost 19 of their last 24 away games against Premier League sides and are a very one-dimensional and stale team away from home.

The market likes them in certain places, which always makes me think they are too short – and I think Brighton have a great chance of winning this game, especially with Brentford missing their best player in Ethan Pinnock . In the 19 games without Pinnock in the Premier League since the start of the 22/23 season, their win percentage drops from 40 percent to 15 percent.

However, I am very greedy when it comes to backing direct low prices and I always look to boost where possible and I think it is worth it to put both teams to score for the Brighton win in this case when it takes the price to 7/4 with Sky Bet. Both teams have scored in 14 of Brighton’s last 15 games in all competitions. And if you had backed the opposition to beat Brentford and both teams to score in their last eight away games, you would have landed a winner at odds-against prices seven times.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1 | JONES KNOWS BEST BET: Brighton to win and both teams to score (7/4 with Sky Bet)

Arsenal vs Ipswich, Friday at 20.15

“It’s crystal clear that we’re going to have to show a different side of us in the next few games,” Ipswich boss Kieran McKenna said after his side were torn apart by Newcastle.

Reading between the lines, this means Ipswich are going to slip into a deep defensive block, frustrate and try to stay in the game. It’s a defensive structure that Arsenal have struggled against this season, particularly in their 0-0 draw with Everton.

It is doubtful whether Ipswich can replicate that level of organisation, but with this one-way game likely on the cards, there are betting angles to exploit with Arsenal’s corner lines. I think they could pick up a healthy number here and 11/10 with Sky Bet for nine or more Arsenal corners should go close if Ipswich can stay in the game early.

Score Prediction: 2-0 | JONES KNOWS BEST BET: Arsenal win nine or more corners (11/10 with Sky Bet)

Jones Knows’ best bet…