Is Nashville getting a white Christmas? What the weather forecast says

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Nashville and surrounding areas continue to receive only a light dusting of snow.

On Tuesday, Dec. 3, Music City received less than an inch of snow, according to reports from the National Weather Service. On Wednesday, counties in northwestern Middle Tennessee received light snowfallwith both Smith and Cannon counties reporting less than an inch.

Dreaming of a white Christmas in Nashville? Here’s what you need to know about snow chances on Christmas Day.

Will Nashville experience a white Christmas in 2024? What forecasters say

Nashville is unlikely to receive snowfall on Christmas Day.

Certain weather conditions must be in place for snow to fall. According to NASA National Snow and Ice Data Centersnowfall depends on moisture in the atmosphere as well as the correct temperatures.

Snow forms when the atmospheric temperature is at or below freezing (32 F). If the ground temperature is at or below freezing, the snow will reach the ground. As a general rule, snow does not form if the ground temperature is at least 41 F, the center reported.

According to the National Weather Service, Tennessee will experience above-average temperatures at the end of the year, as previously predicted by Climate Prediction Center. Between 14.-27. December, temperatures are expected to be 55-60% above average. In December, Nashville experiences average highs of 52 and average lows of 33.

The Old Farmer’s Almanac isn’t predicting a white Christmas for Tennessee either.

According to Christmas forecast 2024snow will fall mainly in the central region of the United States, while the rest of the country will experience a “milder, milder than average winter.”

“Don’t expect high odds in the Plains, Mid-Atlantic, South, Texas-Oklahoma, Missouri or West and Central Tennessee,” wrote the Old Farmer’s Almanac. “We are talking about very low chances (perhaps 20%).”

Former white Christmas days in Nashville

The last time Nashville had a white Christmas was in 2010. Ten years later, Music City saw only traces of snow in 2020. Here are the years when Nashville experienced a white Christmas with a measurable amount, according to the weather service.

  • 1969: 2.4″
  • 2010: 1.1″
  • 1897: 1″
  • 1899: 0.6″
  • 1992 and 1993: 0.3″
  • 1909 and 1914: 0.2″
  • 1917 and 1989: 0.1″

Diana Leyva covers trending news and service journalism for The Tennessean. Contact her at [email protected] or follow her on X, the platform formerly known as Twitter, at @_leyvadiana