Lakers vs Heat Prediction: Odds, Expert Picks, Expected Starting Lineups, Betting Trends and Stats

Miami and Los Angeles meet for the first time this season, both teams looking to avoid losing streaks.

The Miami Heat are 9-10 on the season and look to snap a mini two-game losing streak. Both losses were road contests for Miami, and they are back at home as they hosted Los Angeles. When Miami plays a home game that followed a road game this year, the Heat are 3-1 with a one-point loss to Sacramento. That’s definitely a good trend to have behind you if you’re Miami, plus the Heat are healthy outside of Jimmy Butler, who is questionable (knee) tonight.

The Lakers are 12-9 and trying to snap a two-game losing streak after dropping a road contest at Minnesota (109-80). Los Angeles is in the midst of a four-game road trip that started in Utah and ends in Atlanta on Friday before flying back to LA for a Sunday home game against Portland. With all the travel this week, Los Angeles will try to stay above .500 on the road trip.

We’ve got all the information and analysis you need to know ahead of the match, including the latest information on how to catch opening tips, expected line-ups, recent team performances, player stats and of course our predictions, picks and best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

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Details and how to see Los Angeles @ Miami

● Date: Wednesday, December 4, 2024

● Time: 7:30 PM ET

● Location: Kaseya Center

● City: Miami, FL

● TV/Streaming: NBA TV

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Los Angeles @ Miami betting odds

The latest odds from Wednesday afternoon:

● Moneyline: Los Angeles (+120), Miami Heat (-140)

● Spread: Miami -2 (-110)

● Total: 216.0

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Likely starting lineups for Los Angeles and Miami

· Los Angeles Lakers (12-9)

PG D’Angelo Russell or Gabe Vincent – Austin Reaves is questionable (pelvis)

SG Dalton Knecht

SF Rui Hachimura

PF LeBron James

C Anthony Davis

· Miami Heat (9-10)

PG Tyler Herro

SG Terry Rozier

SF Jimmy Butler is questionable (knee)

PF Haywood Highsmith

C Bam Adebayo

Top betting trends and insights to know ahead of Lakers @ Heat

  • Miami is 8-11 ATS overall and 3-4 ATS as a home favorite.
  • Los Angeles is 8-13 ATS overall and 1-4 ATS as a road underdog.
  • The Lakers are 12-9 under and 7-4 under on the road.
  • The Heat are 10-9 over and 4-4 at home this year.
  • Jimmy Butler scored 26 and 17 points in the last two games against Toronto.
  • Tyler Herro has scored at least 18 points in 14 consecutive games.
  • Bam Adebayo recorded 15 points, 8 rebounds and 5 assists against Boston in his previous game, which was the second of a back-to-back.
  • Anthony Davis had a season-low 12 points in the previous game, but doubled for the sixth straight game.
  • LeBron James had a season low 10 points against Minnesota.
  • D’Angelo Russell led the Lakers in scoring with 20 points against Minnesota.

Notable player props for the Lakers @ Heat

Highest point props

  • Anthony Davis O/U 25.5 points
  • Tyler Herro O/U 22.5 points
  • LeBron James O/U 21.5 rebounds
  • Jimmy Butler O/U 18.5 points
  • Bam Adebayo O/U 17.5 Points

Highest rebounding props

  • Anthony Davis O/U 12.5 rebounds
  • Bam Adebayo O/U 10.5 rebounds
  • LeBron James O/U 7.5 rebounds
  • Jimmy Butler O/U 5.5 rebounds
  • Tyler Herro O/U 5.5 rebounds

Supreme helper props

  • LeBron James O/U 8.5 Assists
  • Jimmy Butler O/U 4.5 Assists
  • Tyler Herro O/U 4.5 Assists
  • Austin Reaves O/U 4.5 Assists
  • Bam Adebayo O/U 4.5 Assists

Expert picks and predictions for the Lakers @ Heat

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NBC Sports Bet Best Bet

Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) likes the Heat to go under 28.5 points in the first quarter versus the Lakers:

“Los Angeles is in the middle of a four-game road trip, while Miami is coming off a short two-game road trip and coming home.

In all four instances this season where Miami has played a road game in the previous game and is at home in the next, the Heat have been held to under 28.5 points in the first quarter. Mix that in with Los Angeles (23.3 PPG) and Miami (23.0 PPG) as two of the four lowest first-quarter scoring teams in the NBA over the last three games, and it suddenly becomes more appealing.

I like Miami to stay under 28.5 points in the first quarter against Los Angeles. Miami has the second-worst offensive net rating in the first quarter over the past three and five games, plus the worst overall over the previous 10 games.”

Here are the best bets our model predicts for the Lakers and the Heat:

· Moneyline: NBC Sports confident of taking Miami at ML (-140)

· Spread: NBC Sports has confidence in Miami -2 on the spread

· Total: NBC Sports has low confidence for a game of UNDER 216.0 point total

Want even more NBA best picks and predictions from our expert staff and tools? Check out EXPERT NBA Predictions page from NBC Sports for the moneyline, spread and overall picks for each of the games on today’s calendar!

Follow our experts on social media to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

· Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)

· Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)

· Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)

· Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)