NFL Week 12 Best Bets: Top Sports Betting Sunday, November 24

On By Littum

October 8, 2023; Indianapolis, Indiana, USA; Indianapolis Colts quarterback Anthony Richardson (5) throws a pass during the first quarter against the Tennessee Titans at Lucas Oil Stadium. credits: Marc Lebryk-USA TODAY SportsOctober 8, 2023; Indianapolis, Indiana, USA; Indianapolis Colts quarterback Anthony Richardson (5) throws a pass during the first quarter against the Tennessee Titans at Lucas Oil Stadium. credits: Marc Lebryk-USA TODAY Sports

Patrick Mahomes doesn’t lose often, so that’s one reason why the Chiefs almost never drop back-to-back games.

The Chiefs cruised into Charlotte with a bit of a temper after dropping their first game of the season in Buffalo. It’s not like a one-of-a-kind loss hurts after winning 16 in a row dating back to last Christmas, but the margin for error is surprisingly small in the AFC.

Mahomes and crew are headed to Carolina to face a Panthers group that almost never wins. But somehow, Bryce Young is 2-1 since reclaiming the starting job. Is there an upset brewing?

Kansas City Chiefs at Carolina Panthers

Maybe Carolina can stick around for a quarter? Maybe not.

This is more about the Panthers inability to get defensive stops. Carolina has risen to a productive level offensively thanks to a grinding offensive line that helped pave the way for a Chuba Hubbard breakout. With Jonathan Brooks debuting on Sunday, they will have another weapon in the race. But Kansas City’s front seven has been terrific, and Carolina lacks a counterattack.

We’d double down on the Chiefs, who topped their projected total of 27 points based on Kansas City’s first drive success in the first and second halves and the likelihood that Mahomes’ defense will get him the ball back a time or two.

Chiefs -10.5 (-115), FanDuel Sportsbook

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Detroit Lions at Indianapolis Colts

We feel exactly the same way about this game as we did last week’s two-touchdown spread over Jacksonville: We’re comfortable going higher to increase our potential to cash in on a bigger ticket. We get the sense many have about road favorites, but the Colts are nowhere near the same class as these Lions.

During their current streak, Detroit is putting up more than 38 points per game. game and the Lions can get the job done with an average streak winning in any environment.

Can the Colts keep it close? The formula is to keep the game plan aggressive enough to be unpredictable, but not ask Anthony Richardson to throw 30-plus passes. Good luck keeping up with this keepaway juggernaut.

If you want a parlay to pack with this Lions cover, look no further than the wide receiver yardage of Jameson Williams and Amon-Ra St. Brown. They should both rebound from combining for more than 250 receiving yards last week.

Lions -7.5 (-104), betMGM

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Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears

If you’re starting to sense that Thanksgiving favorite travel theme, we are too. It comes down to one matchup with multiple tentacles: Brian Flores’ blitz-crazed defense is posting five or more on better than 35 percent of snaps against rookie QB Caleb Williams. Williams has avoided a wiretapping too four games in a row. He has also avoided throwing a touchdown in that stretch and has been sacked more times (41) than any QB in the league.

Flores vs. rookie QBs have been a huge mismatch. They are 1-7 against Flores as a defensive coordinator or head coach and are averaging 15.5 points scored and 3.8 sacks allowed per game. match.

Vikings -3.5 (-105), DraftKings Sportsbook

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