3 Best NBA Player Prop Bets Thursday 11/21/24

The beauty of the NBA is that you will never run out of prop betting options for any given board.

From points to steals and three-pointers, FanDuel Sportsbook’s NBA odds is full of possibilities. We’re here to help you walk through it all.

Uses FanDuel Research daily NBA projections as a guide, here are some NBA player props that look appealing on FanDuel.

Please note: Lines and projections may change during the day after this article is published. All NBA odds comes from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today’s top NBA player picks

Utah Jazz at San Antonio Spurs

Zach Collins over 19.5 Pts + Reb (-115)

The San Antonio Spurs and Utah Jazz meet tonight. The Jazz rank 12th in pace and struggle with the third-worst defensive rating in the NBA. This is a great matchup for the Spurs to produce, and since Victor Wembanyama (knee) has been excludedthere will be more opportunity to walk around.

Enter Zach Collinsa player whose stock soars when Wemby is out of the fold. When the Spurs are healthy, Collins is nothing more than a bench player who sees tame action. But in the two games since Wemby has been out, Collins has not only entered the starting lineup, but has also put up 26 and 19 combined points and rebounds (PR).

Collins – which is official questionable today due to a knee problem — netting 0.69 PR per minute when Wemby is off the floor. As a starter, Collins is averaging 0.86 PR per minute. If Collins continues to produce at that rate, he will need to log approximately 24 minutes to surpass the 19.5 PR. We’ve seen him play 26 minutes in two straight games, and his three-pointer in Tuesday’s upset win over Oklahoma City Thunder may have given him an even longer leash.

The Jazz give up the most points and rebounds per game. match to opposing centers. They also let teams drain the fifth most threes. Collins gets 31.4% of his points from downtown and shoots threes at a 40.7% clip.

Harrison Barnes over 1.5 threes made (+150)

Let’s stick to the same game and see Harrison Barnes to drill a few threes.

Barnes is averaging 1.3 three-pointers (15:00) and has exceeded 1.5 threes in 7 of 15 games (46.7% of contests). These +150 odds imply only a 40.0% probability.

Like Collins, Barnes gets a bump when Wemby is out. He played 32 minutes (third-most this season) on Tuesday and shot a season-high 13 FGA, including seven 3PA.

On top of that, Barnes will draw an ideal matchup tonight. As mentioned, the Jazz play at a fast pace and struggle with a poor defense. Utah releases the seventh-most 3PA, fifth-most 3PM, and allows opponents to shoot threes at a 37.2% clip.

Barnes is also money from the center. Since 2018, he has averaged between 37.4% and 40.8% 3P% in a season. This campaign he is shooting the long ball at a 38.8% clip from deep. I’m a little surprised we’re getting this prop for plus money.

Orlando Magic at Los Angeles Lakers

LeBron James Under 40.5 Pts + Reb + Ast (-115)

LeBron James is averaging 23.5 points, 8.1 rebounds and 9.4 assists – good for a 41.0 PRA – in his 22nd season in the NBA. I think he falls short of that number in tonight’s matchup mod Orlando Magic.

The Magic are a tough bunch to go up against. They play at the sixth-slowest pace in the league and come in with the second-best defensive rating.

LeBron has not fared well in down tempo games. Here’s what his PRA output has looked like in contests against teams that rank in the bottom 12 of the pace: 24, 25, 33, 34, 39 and 46 PRA. So he averaged just 33.5 PRA in the split and went under 40.5 PRA in five of six games. Plus that 46-PRA performance was against one Joel Embiid-less Philadelphia 76ers who currently have a league-worst 2-12 record.

Orlando allows the fewest paint points and three-point attempts per game. match. LeBron scores a combined 75.4% of his points from these areas. Our NBA projections expect LeBron to record 38.2 PRA in this one.

Get one 30% Profit Boost Token for a 3+ Leg Same Game Parlay bet on all NBA games taking place on November 21st! See here for full terms and conditions. Learn about today’s other offers at FanDuel Sportsbook Promotions.

Looking for the latest NBA odds? Head on over to FanDuel Sportsbook and check them all out NBA betting possibilities.

Sign up FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

The above writer is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports bets on FanDuel. The advice given by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author’s advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports bets.