2024 NFL Week 11 Betting: Bengals-Chargers Odds, Picks, Lines

On By Littum

November 17, 2024, 7:43 AM ET

The Cincinnati Bengals and Los Angeles Chargers will take the field Sunday night at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, Calif., as both teams look to improve their chances in the AFC playoff race.

The Chargers are 6-3 and currently hold a wild-card spot in the AFC, while the 4-6 Bengals need to pick up some crucial wins to keep them in the race. The Bengals received good news this week as wide receiver Tee Higgins returns to action. On the other hand, the Chargers defense has given up the fewest points per game. game in the league, so Joe Burrow and the Bengals will have their work cut out for them.

Odds current as of time of publication, courtesy of ESPN BET

Game lines

Spread: Chargers -1.5
Money line: Bengals even, Chargers -120
Over/Under: 47.5

Notice in the first half: Bengals +0.5 (-130), Chargers -0.5 (+105)
Bengals Total Points: 23.5 (over -110/under -120)
Chargers Total Points: 23.5 (over -125/under -105)

The props

Passed

Joe Burrow Total Yards: 249.5 (over -155/under +120)
Burrow Total Passing TDs: 1.5 (over -145/under +115)
Justin Herbert Total Yards: 249.5 (over +105/under -135)
Herbert Total Passing TDs: 1.5 (over par/under -130)

Hating

Chase Brown total rushing yards: 59.5 (over -135/under +105)
JK Dobbins’ total rushing yards: 49.5 (over -155/under +120)

Receiver

Ja’Marr Chase Total Receiving Yards: 79.5 (over par/under -130)
Tee Higgins Total Receiving Yards: 59.5 (over -105/under -125)
Ladd McConkey Total Receiving Yards: 59.5 (over +110/under -140)
Quentin Johnston Total Receiving Yards: 44.5 (over -115/under -115)
Mike Gesicki Total Yards: 29.5 (over -115/under -115)
Joshua Palmer Total Receiving Yards: 34.5 (over par/under -120)
Andre Iosiva’s total receiving yards: 19.5 (over +110/under -140)

Andre’ Snellings’ choice

Joe Burrow over 1.5 touchdown passes (-145)

Something happens to Joe Burrow when the calendar turns from September to October. If healthy enough to play, his numbers increase this fall, from 247.2 YPG and 1.7 TD/G in 18 career games in September to 277.3 YPG and 2.0 TD/G in 42 games from October to December.

This season has been no different, and Burrow enters Sunday’s game on a heater with 679 total yards and nine total touchdowns in his past two games. Although he will face a stout Chargers pass defense, Burrow just got the good news that star receiver Higgins will be available without an injury designation to play Chase. In five games with Higgins this season, Burrow has averaged 2.4 TD/G with at least two touchdowns in four of the games.

Betting trends

Courtesy of ESPN Research

  • The Bengals are 5-0 ATS on the road while the Chargers are 4-0 ATS at home this season.

  • The Chargers are 6-1 ATS as favorites and 5-0 ATS against teams with losing records this season. The Chargers have covered three straight and five of their last six.

  • Joe Burrow is 15-10 ATS in his career as an underdog, and the Bengals are 4-1 ATS after a loss this season.

  • Unders are 7-2 in Chargers games, the second-highest under percentage in the NFL this season. Overs are 7-3 in Bengals games, tied for the second highest percentage in the NFL this season.

  • The Unders are 34-12 on “Sunday Night Football” over the past three seasons (8-2 this season).

  • The Bengals can fall short of their win total (10.5) with a loss.

  • Joe Burrow is 1 of 3 players to go over his pass-touchdown mark in each of his last 2 games (Lamar Jackson, Bryce Young) and has also gone over his pass-attempt mark in 3 straight games; his lines this week are 1.5 and 36.5

  • Ja’Marr Chase has gone through his reception jam in three straight games, tied for the longest active streak among wide receivers.

  • Justin Herbert has gone under his completion prop for four straight games, one shy of Jalen Hurts and Deshaun Watson for the longest active streak in the NFL.

  • Quentin Johnston is one of four wide receivers to score a touchdown in each of his last two games.

  • JK Dobbins has gone under his rushing touchdowns in three straight games, tied for the longest active streak among running backs.

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