Bills vs. Chiefs 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks – November 17

Data Write

The Buffalo Bills (8-2) are slim favorites (-2.5) over the Kansas City Chiefs (9-0) in a matchup between two teams on streaks. The Bills have taken five in a row, the Chiefs nine in a row. The match has an over/under of 46 points.

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Bills vs. Chiefs Prediction & Pick

• Choose ATS: Bills (-2.5)
  
• Select OU: Below (46)
  
• Forecast:
  Bills 24 – Chiefs 21
  

How to watch Buffalo vs. Kansas City

• Game date: Sunday 17 November 2024
• Time: 4:25 PM ET
• Meeting place: Highmark Stadium
• Location: Orchard Park, New York
• TV: CBS
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Read more NFL predictions for this week

Bills vs. Chiefs Latest matchups

• Over their last five meetings, Buffalo has three wins against Kansas City.
• Over their last five head-to-head contests, Buffalo has scored 142 points while Kansas City has tallied 126.

Buffalo betting info

• Against the spread, Buffalo is 6-4-0 this season.
• The Bills are 4-2 ATS this season when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites.
• Buffalo games this year have gone over the total in six out of 10 opportunities (60%).
• The Bills have yet to lose a game where they were the moneyline favorite and went 7-0 in those games this season.
• The Bills have a 56.5% chance to win this matchup, based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Bills statistics

Buffalo’s key players

Crime

• Josh Allen has 2,281 passing yards (ninth in NFL), 17 touchdowns (fourth in NFL) and four interceptions this year. He has completed 63.5% of his passes, averaging 228.1 yards per carry. match and 7.6 per attempt.
• He has also rushed for 261 yards (third on the Bills) and added four touchdowns on the ground while averaging 26.1 rushing yards per game. match.
• James Cook is averaging 4.5 yards per carry. carry (17th in the NFL) and 64 yards per game and has 576 total rushing yards. He has scored eight rushing TDs this season.
• Cook’s 25 targets as part of the passing attack have resulted in 20 catches (2.2 per game) for 175 yards (19.4 per game) and one touchdown.
• In the passing game, Khalil Shakir has contributed 529 receiving yards and two touchdowns after catching 48 balls on 54 targets. Per game, he is averaging 58.8 yards and 5.3 receptions in nine games.
• Keon Coleman is averaging 2.4 receptions and 46.3 yards per carry. game and has 417 total receiving yards and 22 catches. He has 36 total targets and has caught three touchdown passes.

Defense

• On defense for the Bills, Dorian Williams has amassed 91 tackles and five TFL in 2024.
• Gregory Rousseau has 37 tackles, 12 TFL, 5.5 sacks and two passes defensed.
• Damar Hamlin has recorded 61 tackles, two TFL and two interceptions this year.
• So far this season, Terrel Bernard has 49 tackles, three TFL and one interception. He is fourth on the Bills in tackles.

Kansas City betting info

• Kansas City has covered the spread four times over nine games by a total of one set.
• The Chiefs covered the spread in their only game when underdogs by 2.5 points or more.
• Kansas City’s games have ended with a final aggregate score above over/under four times this season.
• The Chiefs won the only game they have played as an underdog this season.
• The implied probability of a Chiefs win based on the moneyline is 47.6%.

Chiefs Stats

Kansas City’s key players

Crime

• Through nine games played this year, Patrick Mahomes has amassed 2,208 passing yards with 12 touchdowns (10th in the NFL) against nine interceptions and has completed 69.5% of his attempts.
• Mahomes has also rushed for one touchdown and 167 yards (second on the Chiefs).
• Kareem Hunt has 449 rushing yards (leading the Chiefs) and five rushing touchdowns while averaging 74.8 yards per carry. game and 3.6 yards per attempts (41st in NFL).
• Hunt also has 14 catches for 116 yards (ninth on the Chiefs). He has been targeted 18 times and is averaging 19.3 yards per carry. match.
• This season, Travis Kelce has caught 60 passes (fourth in the NFL) for 499 receiving yards with two touchdowns in the passing game. He has been targeted 76 times overall and is averaging 6.7 receptions per snap. game in nine games played.
• Xavier Worthy has been targeted 43 times, resulting in 20 catches for 246 yards.

Defense

• Nick Bolton has one sack to go with eight TFL and 62 tackles through nine games in 2024.
• Drue Tranquill has collected 1.5 sacks in addition to his four TFL and 49 tackles over nine games.
• Justin Reid has recorded three TFL, 50 tackles and an interception in the 2024 campaign.
• Chamarri Conner has one sack and one TFL, 38 tackles and one interception.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Write and data from Sportradar.

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