Justin Jefferson NFL Player Prop Predictions for Monday Night Football: Week 15 vs. Bears

Justin Jefferson looks to bounce back from his worst stat line of the season in the first game against the Chicago Bears when he faces them again on Monday Night Football in Week 15.

• Jefferson recorded a 2/27/0 stat line against the Bears in a Week 12 win
• The catches and yards were each season lows for Jefferson
• Jefferson’s 1,170 receiving yards ranks second in the league

As part of our Week 15 NFL predictions, we’ve already dug into our Bears vs. Viking’s prediction, but now it’s time to go a little deeper.

The Monday Night Football odds have the Vikings as a touchdown favorite with an O/O of 43.5 points, and these odds are part of the thought process behind our Justin Jefferson punter predictions.

Justin Jefferson MNF plays prop picks

NFL odds from Monday. Track NFL scores for the latest line moves and matchup information.

• Justin Jefferson touchdown prediction: Anytime touchdown scorer (+100 via Caesars)
• Justin Jefferson prop pick: Over 81.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365)
• Justin Jefferson prop pick: Longest reception over 26.5 yards (-106 via FanDuel)

Justin Jefferson touchdown prediction vs. Bears

Justin Jefferson anytime touchdown scorer

Usually, I prefer to swing for the fences more on a touchdown prediction, like backing a player to score in a certain half or to score more touchdowns. But anytime I can get plus-money odds on a player of Jefferson’s caliber to score at any time, that’s great value.

Jefferson snapped a six-game zero-touchdown drought with a two-touchdown performance last week against the Atlanta Falcons.

This is a three-star game as Jefferson quarterback Sam Darnold has an active franchise record with multiple touchdown passes and zero interceptions in four consecutive games.

Caesars is the only one of our top sports betting sites to make a Jefferson anytime touchdown scorer at plus money odds as all other competitors are -105.

Best odds: +100 via Caesars | Implied probability: 50.00%

Justin Jefferson prop predictions

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Justin Jefferson Over 81.5 receiving yards

Over his last six games, Jefferson’s 524 receiving yards ranks third among all wide receivers. That’s impressive considering he mixed in a 27-yard clunker against the Bears in that span.

In that Week 12 meeting, teammates Jordan Addison and TJ Hockenson set career highs in receiving yards with 162 and 114 yards, respectively.

Conventional wisdom would say that the success of those two would take defensive attention away from Jefferson, and Darnold can force the ball more to his No. 1 wide receiver to make up for the initial poor performance.

Since Week 9, Addison has ranked in the top 15 of 56 qualified wide receivers in yards per carry. route. And while it would eat into Jefferson’s total yardage, I think it means more positive things for him.

This Over is set as high as -118 (with a 54.13% implied probability) at Caesars, so I am taking advantage of the best price at bet365. Through bet365’s -110 odds, a winning bet of $10 would pay out $19.09.

Best odds: -110 via bet365 | Implied probability: 52.38%

Justin Jefferson longest reception over 26.5 yards

On passes at least 10 yards downfield, Darnold ranks first with 81 first downs, is tied for first with 12 passing touchdowns (including a league-high four such passes last week), is second in yards per carry. attempts (13.9) and is fourth in completion percentage (59%).

Darnold also went 5-for-5 for a season-high 112 yards on passes outside the pocket last week. He has connected with Jefferson on at least one pass for 27 yards in back-to-back games and 10 of 13 games this season.

This is a four-star play as, since Week 4, Chicago has used single-high safety coverage 64% of the time. Unlike teams that play two-high safeties, this should make it easier for Darnold to connect with Jefferson on at least one deep beat.

FanDuel is the only sportsbook where you can back this Over at better than -115 odds.

Best odds: -106 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 51.46%

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