Kings vs Lakers prediction, picks and odds for tonight’s NBA game

After undergoing a head coaching shakeup, the Sacramento Kings enter their matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers in a vulnerable state as the Lake Show is in prime position to put up another solid showing at home.

Kenny Ducey - Betting Analyst at Covers

December 28, 2024 • 4:29 PM ET

• 4 min reading

Photo by – Imagn Pictures. Pictured: Los Angeles Lakers forward Anthony Davis (3) against the Phoenix Suns.

The Los Angeles Lakers have started to turn their season around with four wins in five games and now they will look to make it a perfect 4-0 against the Sacramento Kings this season and continue their ascent.

While neither team has looked like a giant part this year, our Kings vs. Lakers predictions focus on the Lakers’ drastic improvement defensively as they catch Sacramento on a downward trend in the scoring department.

Let’s dig into some NBA player props and hand out some NBA picks on Saturday, December 28th.

Kings vs Lakers Prediction

My best bet
Lakers moneyline (-105 at bet365)

My analysis

Of course, I will be the square here and take the overwhelming public side here in the Los Angeles Lakers. While there wasn’t a ton I loved about this matchup in the back-to-back these two teams began 10 days ago, the Lakers have made improvements on the defensive end this month and should be respected here against a Sacramento Kings team who have really struggled.

Sacramento may have started this month scoring at will, but its offense has taken a step back and will struggle against an LA defense that has risen to 12th in efficiency this month. Most importantly, the Lakers rank 11th against mid-range jumpers, something that will certainly make life difficult for a team that relies on that area of ​​the floor to run the offense.

The Lakers have continued to struggle against shots at the rim, but Sacramento sits second last in volume down the cup. That should all but erase any options for this Kings offense, as their opponents have looked excellent all around.

It’s not like the Lakers have been world beaters on offense, but their defense should do more than enough here to keep them in it. On top of that, the Sacramentos continued to play mediocre defense and have had their own struggles in the middle with the sixth-worst defense this month.

That’s going to pay dividends for LA, considering it’s moved further and further away from the 3 this month and has ranked third in shooting frequency on jumpers inside the arc. I suspect the script will remain the same here as the Lakers put on another solid showing on defense and win this game with an edge in the midrange and on the glass.

Kings vs Lakers parlay in same game

bet365 logo

Lakers money line

Anthony Davis Over 13.5 rebounds

De’Aaron Fox Over 30.5 points and assists

Let’s talk about the edge of the glass, which has delivered Anthony Davis a pair of massive games against the Kings this month. He grabbed a total of 24 rebounds in the previous two meetings between these sides and will go to work against a team ranked 25th on the glass this month and just 21st in defensive rebound rate.

Davis hasn’t been a weapon on the offensive glass, but he’s been the leading man on the team and should be able to pad his total on that side of the floor, totaling 12 offensive rebounds in three games against the Kings in this season.

I’m also a big fan of this line about De’Aaron Fox’s points and assists, which is a number he’s hit in all three contests. The Lakers have allowed the sixth-most assists per game. 100 possessions to their opponents this year, and that should help boost Fox’s overall line here after averaging nearly 30 points per game. game against LA this season and 35 points and assists.

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Kings vs Lakers odds

Kings vs Lakers live odds

Kings vs Lakers opening odds

  • Spread: Los Angeles -2
  • Moneyline: Los Angeles -130
  • Over/Under: Above 221.5 | Below 221.5

Odds provided by bet365

Kings vs Lakers spread and Over/Under analysis

  • We saw a steady move against the Kings, dropping the Lakers to just one-point favorites before Sacramento became the new favorite here Saturday afternoon.
  • While 67% of the spread bets are on the Lakers, 77% of the money on Sacramento is for cover.
  • The total rose as high as 224.5 on Saturday morning before trickling down three points. It has since risen from 221.5 to 223 in the afternoon.
  • The Over has accounted for 78% of the tickets and 75% of the handle.

Kings vs Lakers trend

The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the money line in 2Q in 25 of their last 37 games (+13.03 units / 28% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Kings vs. Lakers.

How to watch Kings vs Lakers

Location: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, California
Date: Saturday 28-12-2024
Tip off: 10:30 p.m. ET
TV: NBCSCA, SPECS, TSN

Kings vs Lakers latest injuries

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