Raptors vs Grizzlies Prediction, picks and odds for tonight’s NBA game

The Toronto Raptors head to the FedEx Forum to face the Memphis Grizzlies on Boxing Day. Toronto is on an eight-game losing streak, but RJ Barrett continues to fill the hoop and my Raptors vs. Grizzlies predictions expect that to continue.

Here are my top free NBA picks for this December 26 Boxing Day showdown.

Raptors vs Grizzlies Prediction

My Raptors pick
RJ Barrett Over 22.5 points (-125 at PointsBet Canada)

My analysis

RJ Barrett leads the Toronto Raptors with 23.5 points per game. game on 45.7% shooting from the field. Although Scottie Barnes returned to the lineup in late November, Barrett has remained the primary scoring option.

Over the past month, Barret has scored 23+ points in six of nine games and is averaging 24.9 ppg over that span. While the Memphis Grizzlies are one of the better defensive teams in the NBA, there are a few reasons to expect Barrett to deliver the points tonight.

The Grizzlies play at the fastest pace in the league, which has led to them ranking 15th in the league in points per game. games allowed (113.0). Memphis is also just 20th in the league in fastbreak points per game. game allowed (15.8 ppg), while ranking 18th in defending the rim per ShotQualityBets.

Barrett is third in the league in transition ppg (6.7) and is in the top 20th percentile for attacking rim rate.

Raptors vs Grizzlies parlay in same game

RJ Barrett Over 22.5 points

Zach Edey Under 10.5 points

Over 239.5

With center Jakob Poeltl sidelined by a groin injury, Toronto has been playing a smaller lineup. The Raps have started 6-foot-6 Jonathan Mogbo at center with Kelly Olynyk and Chris Boucher coming off the bench. With that mobility, Memphis will likely have to limit the playing time of rookie big man Zach Edey.

The 7-foot-4, 305-pound Edey has seen his lack of foot speed exposed by opposing bigs who can get up and down the court or pull him out to the perimeter. The Toronto local was held to just three points in his last contest and won’t be on the floor enough to go over 10.5 points tonight.

The Raptors are sixth in the league in scoring over the past month, and their ability to score in transition should help them put up points against the Grizzlies at pace. That said, the Raps are also 23rd in the league in defensive rating and will have a tough time slowing down a Memphis team that leads the NBA with 122.7 ppg.

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