Lakers vs Spurs prediction, picks and odds for tonight’s NBA game

Victor Wembanyama and the Spurs are hot right now, while the Lakers are anything but. Our NBA betting picks are backing San Antonio as a tepid home underdog.

Zak Hanshew - Betting Analyst at Covers.com

November 27, 2024 • 1:26 PM ET

• 4 min reading

Photo by – Imagn Images. Pictured: Victor Wembanyama.

The Lakers dropped a third straight game on Tuesday with a blowout loss to the Suns, and the Spurs won for the fourth time in as many games with a victory over the Jazz. Both teams are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set as they clash for the second time this season.

My Lakers vs. Spurs predictions target San Antonio’s moneyline and player props for two major superstars on Wednesday, Nov. 27.

Lakers vs Spurs Prediction

My best bet
Spurs moneyline (+110 at bet365)

My analysis

Through 18 games, the San Antonio Spurs are in the middle of the Western Conference playoffs, sitting just half a game behind the Los Angeles Lakers. Los Angeles won the first meeting of the season 120-115 in San Antonio, but I expect the Spurs to flip the script in tonight’s rematch.

The Lakers won two of three against the Spurs last season, coming away with wins of three and five points and suffering a 129-115 loss to San Antonio. This season’s first game was another hard-fought affair and Spurs kept it close again. San Antonio was ahead in that game with just under two minutes left, making it a very winnable tilt.

The Lakers should be in desperation mode tonight, but I expected them to be hungry for a win against the Suns on Tuesday, and they were run out of the gym in the second half. Meanwhile, San Antonio has won four in a row, including wins over the top two teams in the West in the Warriors and Thunder.

The Lakers have lost three straight and are 0-5 ATS across their last five. The Spurs have won four straight and six of eight and are a perfect 4-0 ATS during their streak. San Antonio is 5-2 straight-up and ATS as the home dog. The Lakers are 3-1 straight up as a road favorite, but just 1-3 ATS in that situation and 2-6 ATS on the road overall.

Taking the Spurs to cover makes sense in this one, but it’s so close to a line that I’d prefer to get the plus-money odds on San Antonio winning outright. My NBA picks are backing the hot home team to keep rolling and send Los Angeles spiraling to a fourth consecutive L.

Lakers vs Spurs parlay in same game

bet365 logo

Spurs money line

Victor Wembanyama Over 39.5 points + rebounds + assists

Anthony Davis Over 43.5 points + rebounds + assists

There’s no reason to shy away from Victor Wembanyama now, especially while he’s blazing hot. The French phenom has hit the PRA Over in six straight appearances, averaging 32.5 points, 10.7 rebounds and four assists in that span.

Wemby easily cashed in on that plug in his first meeting with the Lakers this season, going 28/14/5. He averaged 41 PRAs in three matchups with LA last season, beating Over in two of three.

Wemby has been fantastic at home averaging 40.5 PRAs compared to just 31.4 on the road. He’s hit that mark in five of nine at Frost Bank Center, and I fully expect him to do it again tonight in a Spurs win.

If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it. I went to Anthony Davis for Over on his PRA’s prop last night and I’m going back to the well tonight.

Despite suffering a blowout loss to the Suns, Davis cashed in on that plug on Tuesday, and his line only moved up slightly from 42.5 to 43.5. On the season, Davis averages 41.7 PRAs at home and a whopping 47.1 on the road.

He went 40/12/2 against the Spurs in the first meeting this season and averaged 44.5 PRAs against them last season. Davis is averaging 44.1 PRAs this season. He has hit the Over in 10 of 16 games, including five of his last six, and I expect him to do so against Spurs after three outstanding displays in a row against them.

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Lakers vs Spurs odds

Lakers vs Spurs live odds

Lakers vs Spurs opening odds

  • Spread: Los Angeles -2.5 (-110) | San Antonio +2.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Los Angeles -130 | San Antonio +110
  • Over/Under: Over 228 (-110) | Under 228 (-110)

Odds provided by bet365

Lakers vs Spurs spread and Over/Under analysis

  • Los Angeles has failed to cover in five straight games, dropping the Lakers’ ATS record to 7-10 on the season.
  • San Antonio has won and covered in four straight, bringing the team’s straight-up and ATS records to 10-8.
  • The Lakers are 4-3 for the Over over their last seven outings and the team is 9-8 for the Over on the season.
  • Spurs have hit the Over in two of their last four and in nine of 18 games overall.

Lakers vs Spurs trend

The Spurs and Lakers averaged 240.3 combined points across their last four meetings, going 3-0-1 to Over. Three of those games had a total score of 241 or higher. Find more NBA betting trends for Lakers vs. Spurs.

How to watch Lakers vs Spurs

Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX
Date: Wednesday 27-11-2024
Tip off: 8:30 PM ET
TV: Spectrum SportsNet, FDSNSW

Lakers vs Spurs latest injuries

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