NFL Thanksgiving Parlay picks for all three games

Thanksgiving Day is built for turkey and football. If you’re like me, you’ll find a nice spot on the couch where you can sit down and watch football all day, taking breaks only to grab another plate of food.

Before the match starts at 12:30 PM ET between the Chicago Bears and Detroit Lions, be sure to place some bets on Thursday’s action. You can find my best bet for each game in this week’s edition of the “Road to 272 Bets”, but in this article I’m going to break down a parlay that you can place a small bet on.

This parlay will include a side bet and a player prop for all three games. Let’s dive into it.

Parlay odds: +2143

Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

Bears +10.5

Facing a division opponent on a short week is always going to be a tough challenge, even for the Detroit Lions, who seem unbeatable at this point in the season. Not only is that task a tall order to accomplish, but the Bears have been trending in the right direction in recent weeks. Their secondary is one of the best in the NFL and their offense has looked significantly better since moving on from offensive coordinator Shane Waldron.

I sell high on the Lions and take the 10.5 points with the Bears for the first part of the parlay.

Keenan Allen OVER 4.5 receptions

Keenan Allen has seen an increased workload since Thomas Brown took over as offensive coordinator for the Bears. He has seen a combined 23 goals in the last two games, and he has claimed 13 of them. All we need is for him to record five receptions against the Lions on Thursday for the second part of our parlay.

Fighting +3.5

In a game between two terrible teams, I will almost always lean toward the side that gets points, especially if the spread is longer than a field goal. It’s worth noting that the Giants also have some matchup advantage in this game. Not only will they be able to run the ball against the Cowboys, but with how stiff the Dallas defense is, the New York pass rush will have a field day in their backfield.

Tyrone Tracy Jr. OVER 63.5 Rush Yards

As I wrote above, the Giants should be able to run the ball successfully against the Cowboys. They rank dead last in opponent rush EPA and 28th in opponent rush success rate. New York would be smart to lean on its running back, Tyrone Tracy Jr., who is averaging an impressive 5.1 yards per carry. carry on season.

Dolphins +3.5

The Dolphins have been one of the best offensive teams in the NFL since Tua Tagovailoa returned to the lineup, ranking fourth in EPA per game and second in pass completion rate during that time frame. Putting up points against this offense will be a bold move for any player.

I’m also not sold on Jordan Love this season. People expected him to be an MVP candidate, but he now ranks 15th in EPA+CPOE composite and 10th in adjusted EPA per. game. In comparison, Tagovailoa ranks third in both of those stats.

I’ll take the points with Miami in Green Bay.

Josh Jacobs Anytime Touchdown

While I’m betting on the Dolphins to cover, I’m also betting on Packers running back Josh Jacobs to score a touchdown. He is one of the few bellcow running backs in the NFL, and with the forecast calling for cold weather, I expect them to lean on Jacobs early and often in this game. He’s bound to find the end zone at least once, making it the first final leg of this Turkey Day parlay.

Odds are updated regularly and are subject to change.

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You can check it all out Iain’s bet here!