2024 NFL Week 12 Betting: Ravens-Chargers Odds, Picks, Lines

On By Littum

November 25, 2024, 8:00 a.m. ET

An exciting Week 12 concludes with an important AFC tilt between the Baltimore Ravens and Los Angeles Chargers on “Monday Night Football” (8:30 ET, ESPN).

The tilt will mark the first meeting between coaches Jim and John Harbaugh since Super Bowl XLVII in 2013. John Harbaugh’s Chargers enter Week 12 red-hot, winners of four straight games and fresh off a hard-fought victory over the Cincinnati Bengals in primetime.

Meanwhile, the Ravens saw their two-game winning streak come to an end at the hands of the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 11, but are still -155 to win the division at ESPN BET after the Browns upset Pittsburgh on Thursday night. The Ravens opened as 2.5-point favorites with the total set at 47.5.

While the AFC West race is looming with the Kansas City Chiefs atop the odds, the Chargers are still fighting for playoff positioning. Monday night’s game could play an integral role, with both Los Angeles (7-2) and Baltimore (7-3) fighting for the playoffs.

Odds current as of time of publication, courtesy of ESPN BET

Game lines

Spread: Ravens (-2.5)
Moneyline: Ravens (-140), Chargers (+120)
Above/below: 50.5 points (over -115/under -105)

Notice in the first half: Ravens -0.5 (-110), Chargers +0.5 (-110)
Money line in the first half: Ravens (-140), Chargers (+110)
Ravens total points: 26.5 (over -110/under -120)
Chargers Total Points: 23.5 (over -125/under -105)

The props

Passed

Justin Herbert Total Yards: 249.5 (over -135/under +105)
Herbert Total Passing TDs: 1.5 (over -125/under -105)
Lamar Jackson Total Passing Yards: 249.5 (over +115/under -145)
Jackson Total Passing TDs: 1.5 (over -120/under -110)

Hating

Derrick Henry total rushing yards: 79.5 (over -135/under +105)
JK Dobbins’ total rushing yards: 44.5 (over -130/under par)
Jackson total rushing yards: 44.5 (over -110/under -120)
Gus Edwards Total Rushing Yards: 24.5 (over par/under -130)
Herbert total rushing yards: 19.5 (over -110/under -120)

Receiver

Ladd McConkey Total Receiving Yards: 69.5 (over -135/under +105)
Zay Flowers’ Total Receiving Yards: 59.5 (over -115/under -115)
Quentin Johnston Total Receiving Yards: 49.5 (over -105/under -125)
Rashod Bateman Total Receiving Yards: 39.5 (over -105/under -125)
Will Dissly total receiving yards: 44.5 (over -105/under -125)
Mark Andrews Total Receiving Yards: 29.5 (over -130/under par)
Isaiah’s Probable Total Receiving Yards: 24.5 (over -130/under par)
Dobbin’s total receiving yards: 14.5 (over -110/under -120)

Eric Moody’s chooses

Best bet: Chargers +2.5

The Ravens’ defense has struggled, especially against the pass, and managed just 16 points against the Steelers in Week 11. Meanwhile, the Chargers’ defense is allowing the fewest points per game. match. The Ravens are 6-3 ATS on the road, but the Chargers’ offense is clicking. They’ve scored 26-plus points in four straight games, leaning on Justin Herbert and the passing game. Los Angeles is also 4-0-1 ATS in their last five home games. Plus, the Ravens have dropped four of their last five November games as road favorites.

Best Bet: Justin Herbert OVER 249.5 Passing Yards (-135)

This prop immediately caught my attention. Herbert has topped that line in four of his last five games, averaging 274.2 passing yards during that stretch. Here’s the kicker: No defense gives up more passing yards per game than the Ravens’. With playmakers like Ladd McConkey and Quentin Johnston, Herbert has everything he needs to exploit the weak secondary.

Best bet: Will Dissly OVER 4.5 receptions (+105)

Dissly has been the go-to guy in the Chargers’ tight end rotation, running more routes than Tucker Fisk and Stone Smartt. He has hit that mark in three of his last five games and has shown consistency when given the opportunity. Baltimore’s secondary struggles are no secret — they’re allowing the ninth-most receptions and fourth-most receiving yards per game to tight ends this season. The Ravens’ defense has relied on two-high coverage on about 43% of their snaps this season, leaving plenty of room underneath — exactly where Dissly thrives. He has caught 16 of 19 targets for 143 yards against two-high coverage this season, the most receptions on the Chargers in that situation. This matchup is perfect for him to take advantage of cards for midrange.

Best Bet: Ladd McConkey OVER 5.5 Receptions (+105)

Working primarily from the slot, McConkey has emerged as Herbert’s top target, leading the Chargers with 66 targets and 46 receptions. The Ravens’ defense gives up the fifth-most receptions per game. game for wide receivers, and McConkey’s precise route running makes him a perfect fit to exploit Baltimore’s defense. He has caught 12 of 20 targets for 152 yards against two-high coverage this season, the most receiving yards on the Chargers in that situation. McConkey is well positioned to handle this line in such a favorable matchup.

Betting trends

Courtesy of ESPN Research

  • The Chargers are 8-2 ATS this season, tied for the best mark in the NFL this season (Steelers, Lions). They have covered four games in a row, their longest streak since 2020-2021 (five).

  • The Chargers are 5-0 ATS this season at home. It is their longest home streak since 2007 (six straight). A cover this week would match their longest home ATS hitting streak in the Super Bowl era (2007, 1992, 1971-1972).

  • Overs are 9-2 in Ravens games this season, the highest overs rate in the NFL.

  • Lamar Jackson is 16-8 ATS in his career in primetime games (19-5 straight), including 9-4 ATS/SU on the road. Justin Herbert is 11-7 ATS in prime time.

  • Lamar Jackson is 28-14-2 ATS in his career on the road, including 23-8-1 ATS when he doesn’t have at least seven points.

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