Premier League predictions and best bets: Ruben Amorim’s party spoiled by Ipswich on Super Sunday | Football news

Our football betting expert Jones Knows is back to provide more Premier League insight ahead Super Sunday.

Southampton vs Liverpool, Sunday at 14.00, live on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6!

Southampton remain like a bad Christmas present. They break in the box.

The midfield is quite attractive and you can see what Russell Martin is trying to achieve, but in key moments of games, in key areas of the pitch, Saints remain a weak outfit.

Liverpool are bound to punish the soft underbelly at various times in this game, most likely from set pieces, with Southampton terrible at defending their field.

They’ve conceded seven goals from set-pieces this season against a 7.28 expected goals ratio, so the numbers are going up. Curiously, Arne Slot’s side have actually struggled to create many moments from their attacking set pieces, registering just 29 shots – the fewest of any team from such situations this season.

Sunday, November 24 at 1 p.m

Kick off at 14:00

Nevertheless, they have a double-winning aerial maestro in Virgil van Dijk, who is third in first touches from attacking corners this season (7) – only James Tarkowski and Gabriel have won more.

Van Dijk has already scored two headers this season and a third could be on the way with Sky Bet dangling 14/1 on the prospect.

Score prediction: 0-2

Ipswich vs Manchester United, Sunday 4.30pm, live on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6!

If past trends are anything to go by, Ruben Amorim’s first game in charge could be a forgettable and low-scoring one.

But it’s fine if we get something out of it.

On the last 11 occasions a ‘big six’ team has appointed a permanent manager over the course of a season, that manager’s first game is usually low-scoring as he gets to grips with his new players.

It is relevant from a betting perspective that eight of these 11 games have gone under 2.5 goals.

Jurgen Klopp’s first game for Liverpool ended 0-0 at Spurs, Mikel Arteta opened with a 1-1 draw at Bournemouth, Thomas Tuchel drew 0-0 with Wolves on goal as Chelsea boss and Antonio Conte started with 0-0 draw for Spurs at Everton.

These results point to a new manager coming in and keeping things very simple for his first game.

And the new man inherits a very tame Manchester United attack that has scored just 18 goals in their last 16 Premier League games – that’s an average of 1.13 goals per game. Of the ever-present Premier League teams in that period, only Everton scored fewer goals per game on average. match.

The angle under 2.5 goals rates as a juicy bet to attack at 11/8 with Sky Bet.

Score Prediction: 0-0 | JONES KNOWS BEST BET: Under 2.5 goals (11/8 with Sky Bet)

Newcastle vs West Ham, Monday at 20.00, live on Sky Sports

What is West Ham under Julen Lopetegui?

It looks like David Moyes’ football without the overwhelming counter-attacking style that took the club to some special places under his watch. Lopetegui’s hiring is shaping up to be one of the big mistakes of the summer.

Away from home in 2024, West Ham’s defense have conceded 35 goals in 14 Premier League games – that’s an average of 2.5 goals per game. game and is the worst record of any Premier League team ever at that time. I fully expect Newcastle to fill their boots here.

Monday 25 November at 18.30

Kick off at 20:00

And Joe Willock looks overpriced to get a goal. His goalscoring threat always remains undervalued by the markets.

Since returning to the team three games ago, he has had seven of Newcastle’s 34 shots, meaning he has been responsible for 21 per cent of all their shots. I expect him to be at the fore again in a game where Newcastle will see plenty of territory. The 4/1 on him scoring anytime with Sky Bet is a runner.

Score prediction: 3-1

Jones Knows’ best bet…