Thunder vs Spurs Predictions: Odds, Expert Picks, Expected Lineups, Betting Trends and Stats

On By Littum

Thunder and Spurs meet for the second time this season as Victor Wembanyama is a doubt to play.

San Antonio is 6-8 on the year and has lost its last two games to Los Angeles and Dallas. The Spurs lost the first meeting of the season to the Thunder, 105-93, and have gone 5-5 since that meeting. Only three of the Spurs’ eight losses have come by single digits, which is why San Antonio is a +9.5 point home underdog.

Oklahoma City is 11-3 this season and lost its last outing, but has won three of its last four. The Thunder are without Chet Holmgren, so it’s another opportunity for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to build his MVP campaign and Jalen Williams for Most Improved Player. The Thunder are coming off a six-game homestand and are 4-1 on the road this year, but have not played a road game without Holmgren.

With that said, let’s dive into the matchup and offer some information and possibly a sweat or two.

We’ve got all the information and analysis you need to know ahead of the match, including the latest information on how to catch opening tips, expected line-ups, recent team performances, player stats and of course our predictions, picks and best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

Listen to Rotoworld Basketball Show for the latest player news, waiver claims, roster advice and more from our experts all season long.

Details and how to watch Thunder @ Spurs

● Date: Monday 18 November 2024
● Time: 9:30 PM ET
● Site: Frost Bank Center
● City: San Antonio, TX
● TV/streaming: NBA TNT

Never miss a second of the action and stay up to date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check our day by day MLB schedule pagealong with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with each outing.

Thunder @ Spurs betting odds

The latest odds from Tuesday afternoon:
● Moneyline: Oklahoma City Thunder (-430), San Antonio Spurs (+340)
● Spread: Oklahoma City -9.5
● Total: 222.5

Bet Edge is your source for all sports betting. Get all of Jay Croucher and Drew Dinsick’s insight weekdays at 6 a.m. ET right here or wherever you get your favorite podcasts.

Likely starting lineups for Oklahoma City and San Antonio

· Oklahoma City Thunder (11-3)

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
SG Cason Wallace — Isaiah Joe is out
SF Lu Dort
PF Aaron Wiggins
C Jalen Williams — Chet Holmgren is out

· San Antonio Spurs (6-8)

PG Chris Paul
SG Devin Vassell
SF Julian Champagne
PF Harrison Barnes
C Victor Wembanyama (doubtful) — Zach Collins

Top betting trends and insights to know ahead of Thunder @ Spurs

  • San Antonio is 6-8 ATS this season and 3-2 ATS as a road underdog.
  • Oklahoma City is 3-1 ATS as a road favorite and ranks third best.
  • Oklahoma City is 9-5 ATS this season, ranking sixth.
  • Oklahoma City and San Antonio are each 7-7 at O/U this year.
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has scored at least 28 points in the last four games.
  • Jalen Williams has scored 27 or more points in three of the last four games.
  • Victor Wembanyama has scored 28 or more points in three straight games and grabbed at least 14 rebounds in three of the last four.
  • Chris Paul scored at least 11 points in three of the last four games.

Notable player props for the Thunder @ Spurs

Highest point props

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander O/U 29.5 Points
  • Jalen Williams O/U 22.5 Points
  • Lu Dort O/U 13.5 Points
  • Stephon Castle O/U 12.5 Points
  • Zach Collins O/U 12.5 points

Highest rebounding props

  • Zach Collins O/U 7.5 rebounds
  • Jalen Williams O/U 6.5 rebounds
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander O/U 6.5 rebounds

Supreme helper props

  • Chris Paul O/U 7.5 Assists
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander O/U 5.5 Assists
  • Jalen Williams O/U 4.5 Assists

Expert picks and predictions for Thunder @ Spurs

Please rate responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

NBC Sports Betting Best Bets

Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) likes Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to go for 30 points vs. Spurs:

“With Victor Wembanyama likely out for this game, the court is wide open for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, a scoring machine who consistently delivers 30-plus points.

OKC will be without Chet Holmgren, which could make this a closer game than the spread suggests, giving San Antonio a chance to hang on. Shai has stepped up in Holmgren’s absence, dropping 45, 29, 38 and 36 points in his last four outings – a testament to his dominant form.

In their previous matchup, SGA had a rare off night scoring just 18 points in 28 minutes and attempting just two free throws. Despite that, the Thunder still won 105-93, thanks to solid contributions from Lu Dort (20 points) and Holmgren (19 points). But let’s be real – SGA rarely has back-to-back subpar performances against the same opponent. This nationally televised game is a prime stage for him to bolster his MVP case.

I am confident that SGA hits over 29.5 points and would back it even at 30.5. The only potential hiccup is the risk of blowout. If Wemby plays, I actually like this prop even more – SGA thrives on big moments like these.”

Here are the best bets our model projects for the Thunder and Spurs:

· Moneyline: NBC Sports finds confidence to take on San Antonio at ML (+340)
· Spread: NBC Sports has high confidence in San Antonio +9.5 on the spread
· Total: NBC Sports has low confidence for a game of UNDER 222.5 point total

Want even more NBA best picks and predictions from our expert staff and tools? Check out EXPERT NBA Predictions page from NBC Sports for the moneyline, spread and overall picks for each of the games on today’s calendar!

Follow our experts on social media to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

· Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
· Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
· Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
· Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)