Game Predictions | Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs

On By Littum

Chiefs history to watch: In seven career games against the Chiefs, including three in the playoffs, quarterback Josh Allen has 16 touchdown passes, three interceptions and a QBR of 74. Are the Chiefs able to keep him from another big game this time around, even if Allen is throwing to a group of receivers depleted by injuries? In the last two weeks, the Chiefs have put up little resistance against the Tampa Bays Baker Mayfield and Denver’s Bo Nix. — Adam Teicher

Bill’s story to watch: Can the Bills’ defense continue to limit the Chiefs’ offense in the regular season? The Bills have held the Chiefs to 20.8 points per game in four regular season meetings since 2020. Taking the ball away is a focal point for this defense and could be the key to success. The Bills have 12 consecutive games with at least one takeaway, the second-longest active streak in the NFL behind the Lions (13). — Alaina Getzenberg

State to know: The Bills have won five games in a row; Buffalo’s plus-61 scoring margin during the streak is the third-highest of any team in the NFL during that span, trailing only the Lions (plus-91) and Eagles (plus-82)

Bold prediction: Bills cornerback Christian Benford will pick the quarterback Patrick Mahomes. Benford is playing well this season. In fact, no outside cornerback has allowed fewer yards per game. coverage snaps (0.6) than him, according to NFL Next Gen Stats. Part of that is because he’s allowing fewer goals than average (13%), but also that he has a minus-9% completion percentage allowed above expectation. — Walder

Fantasy X Factor: Chiefs running back Kareem Hunt. Kansas City is first in time of possession (33:01), which means we should see a lot of Hunt. He has had more than 20 touches in each of his last four games and scored at least 17 fantasy points in three of them. The Bills’ defense allows the second-most fantasy points per game. game for running backs. See rankings in week 11. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Chiefs are 0-4 ATS in their last four conference games.

Kahler’s Choice: Bills 29, Chiefs 27

Moody’s Choice: Bills 25, Chiefs 23

Walder’s choice: Bills 24, Chiefs 17

FPI Prediction: BUF, 53.1% (with an average of 1.4 points)