Marcin Tybura vs Jhonata Diniz Pick, 11/16/2024 Predictions UFC 309 Odds

Marcin Tybura vs Jhonata Diniz

UFC 309

Madison Square Garden in NYC

Saturday 16 November 2024

Marcin Tybura takes on Jhonata Diniz at UFC 309 on Saturday, November 16, 2024. Moneyline has Tybura priced at -130, while Diniz is priced at +110.

Marcin “Tybur” Tybura enters this match with a 25-9-0 mark. The 39-year-old weighs 249 lbs and stands at 6’3″. The orthodox fighter has a reach of 78″. Jhonata Diniz stands 6’4″ and weighs 254 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 8-0-0. The 33-year-old extends his reach by 79″. In terms of significant strikes, Marcin Tybura is landing 3.57 per min while Jhonata Diniz connects with 4.09 significant strikes per minute. Tybura connects on 48% of the significant strikes he throws, while Diniz connects on 53%. In terms of the fighter’s defense, “Tybur” allows 3.34 significant attacks per minute, while Diniz allows 2.75. Tybura also defends 55% of critical attacks aimed at him, while Diniz blocks 55% of shots thrown in his direction.

In the category of takedowns, Marcin Tybura is the more skilled grappler, as he averages a takedown 1.42 times per fight. 3 rds. Tybura lands his opponent on 33% of his attempts and stops 77% of the takedowns his opponents have attempted. Diniz is finishing his takedowns on 15% of his takedown attempts and landing 70% of all takedowns attempted by his opponent. In terms of going for sub, Tybura is less apt to go for the finish by trying 0.1 subs per turn. 3 rds while Diniz tries 0.6 subs per 3 rounds.

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In his previous fight, Marcin Tybura faced Serghei Spivac and took a loss on the night via a bottom guard armbar in round 1. Spivac ended up landing 8 of the 11 strikes he landed for this contest. Tybura finished the night having landed 9 of 18 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Spivac landed 3 of 5, giving him a 60% rate. He ended up landing 2 of 4 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other hand, Tybura landed 0% of his significant strikes by jabbing 0 of 4. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 0 of 2 that pointed to the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Spivac and 33% of those landed by Tybura were counted from a distance.

In the last fight for Jhonata Diniz he squared off with Karl Williams and ended up getting the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Williams ended up landing 86% of the significant strikes he attempted at the distance and Diniz ended up landing 98% of the significant attacks he attempted from range. Diniz ended up landing 57% of the significant strikes he attempted, landing 59 of 103. He connected 32 of 75 significant strikes to the head. Williams ended up landing 29 of 84 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up landing 22 of 74 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes thrown, Williams was 49 of 120, while Diniz connected on 63 of 107 of all the strikes he threw.

Other matches to watch out for

Another fight to watch out for is when Mickey Gall fights Ramiz Brahimaj. Gall enters this match with a 7-6-0 mark. The 32-year-old checks in at 170 lbs and stands at 6’2″. The Switch fighter has an arm span of 74″. Brahimaj stands 5’10” and weighs 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 10-5-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 72″. When it comes to grappling, Mickey Gall takes down his opponents 1.18 times per fight. 3 rds, and Ramiz Brahimaj is able to score a takedown 1.61 times per 3 rds. Speaking of hitting, Gall is landing an average of 3.33 punches/min and connecting on 48% of the punches he throws. The other fighter in this matchup is Ramiz Brahimaj, who is connecting on 41% of the strikes he’s thrown, landing 1.74 per minute.

If you have to watch the games, don’t miss when Oban Elliott is set to clash with Bassil Hafez. Hafez enters the cage with a record of 9-3-1. The 32-year-old weighs 170 lbs and stands 5’11”. The orthodox fighter reaches 72″. Elliott comes in at 6’0″ and checks in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter enters the Octagon with a record of 11-2-0. The 26-year-old extends his reach 72″. In terms of wrestling, Bassil Hafez prevents 50% of takedowns attempted by fighters and takes his opponents to the mat 24% of the times he attempts. Elliott takes his opponents to the mat on 50% of his attempts and rejects 72% of all takedown attempts. In terms of hitting, Hafez takes 5.53 punches per minute and he lands 4.23 per minute. Elliott, on the other hand, takes 2.24 strikes per minute and lands 3.82 per minute.

Who will win tonight’s UFC fight against the spread?

Tony Sink’s Pick: Take Jhonata Diniz (+110)

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