Jim Miller vs Damon Jackson Pick, 11/16/2024 Predictions UFC 309 Odds

Jim Miller vs Damon Jackson

UFC 309

Madison Square Garden in NYC

Saturday 16 November 2024

Jim Miller steps into the Octagon against Damon Jackson at UFC 309 on Saturday, November 16, 2024. The opener has Miller priced at +142, while Jackson comes in at -170.

Jim “A-10″ Miller steps into the cage with a record of 37-18-0 (1 NC). The 41-year-old weighs 155 lbs and comes in at 5’8″. The southpaw fighter reaches 71”. Damon “The Leech” Jackson stands 5’11” and weighs 155 lbs. The Switch fighter enters the Octagon with a mark of 23-7-1 (1 NC). The 36-year-old extends his reach 71″. In terms of significant strikes, Jim Miller connects at 2.99 per minute, while Damon Jackson lands 2.90 significant strikes per minute. Miller connects on 42% of the significant strikes he attempts and Jackson connects on 42%. In terms of their defense in the cage, “A-10” absorbs 3.50 significant attacks per minute and “The Leech” absorbs 3.47. Miller also deflects 56% of the significant punches his opponents attempt, while Jackson is able to defend against 48% of the punches thrown in his direction.

Jim Miller vs Damon Jackson Pick, 11/16/2024 Predictions UFC 309 Odds












UFC 309 Jim Miller Damon Jackson
Opening odds +142 -170
Record 37-18-0 (1 NC) 23-7-1 (1 NC)
Average match time 9:49 10:21 am
Height 5’8″ 5’11”
Weight 155 lbs 155 lbs
Reach 71″ 71″
Strike landed on minute 2.99 2.90
Striking accuracy 42% 42%

In terms of grappling, Jim Miller is not as effective as a grappler as he gets a takedown 1.53 times per fight. 15 minutes Miller takes his opponents to the canvas on 44% of his attempts and defends 47% of all takedowns attempted on him. Jackson scores a takedown on 34% of the takedowns he attempts and stops 37% of the attempts against him. In terms of going for the sub, Miller is the more adept of the two fighters, attempting 1.7 finishes per fight. 15 min., while Jackson attempts 1.2 completions per 3 rows

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In his previous fight, Jim Miller faced King Green and was on the losing end of that fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Green landed 187 of 320 total strikes he landed in that fight. Miller finished the night having landed 58 of 145 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Green landed 186 of 319, giving him a 58% strike rate. He finished the fight landing 136 of 245 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Miller landed 39% of the significant strikes he threw, landing 57 of 144. Of those significant strikes, he landed 29 of 103 aimed at the head. 89% of the significant strikes associated with Green and 96% of those landed by Miller were counted from distance.

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In the last fight for Damon Jackson, he faced Chepe Mariscal and was defeated via unanimous decision in round 3. Mariscal landed 10% of his significant strikes from distance and Jackson connected on 15% of his significant strikes attempted from distance. Jackson ended up connecting on 65% of his significant strikes attempted, connecting on 32 of 49. He ended up landing 5 of 16 significant strikes aimed at the head. Mariscal landed 73 of 100 striking strikes in that bout. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up landing 59 of 86 aimed at the head. Discussing the total number of strikes that he dropped, Mariscal was 218 of 267, while Jackson ended up hooking 49 of 72 total strikes.

Other matches on the card to watch

An additional match that should not be missed is when Marcin Tybura fights Jhonata Diniz. Tybura enters this match with a 25-9-0 mark. The 39-year-old weighs 249 lbs and stands at 6’3″. The orthodox fighter has a reach of 78″. Diniz stands 6’4″ and weighs 254 lbs. The Orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 8-0-0. The 33-year-old extends his reach by 79″. In terms of takedowns, Marcin Tybura takes down his opponents 1.42 times per fight. 3 rds while Jhonata Diniz scores a takedown 0.70 times per 15 minutes In the punching category, Tybura is marking his opponents 3.57 punches per minute and landing 48% of the punches he attempts. The other guy in this matchup is Jhonata Diniz, who is tagging the opposition on 53% of the strikes he has thrown and is connecting with an average of 4.09 per strikeout. my.

Another match to watch is when Ramiz Brahimaj is set to clash with Mickey Gall. Gall enters this match with a 7-6-0 mark. The 32-year-old checks in at 170 lbs and stands at 6’2″. The Switch fighter has an arm span of 74″. Brahimaj stands 5’10” and weighs 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 10-5-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 72″. In terms of wrestling, Mickey Gall deflects 37% of takedowns attempted by fighters and gets his opponent to the mat on 32% of his attempts. Brahimaj takes his opponents to the mat on 35% of his attempts and thwarts 44% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the strike category, Gall absorbs 4.55 strikes/minute, and he dishes out 3.33 per strike. minute. Brahimaj also takes 3.69 strikes/minute and dishes out 1.74 per minute.

Who will win tonight’s UFC fight against the spread?

Guy Bruhn’s Pick: Take Jim Miller (+142)

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