Veronica Hardy vs. Eduarda Moura prediction, odds, picks for UFC 309

UFC 309: Jon Jones vs. Stipe Miocic kicks things off with a fight in the flyweight division between Veronica Hardy and Eduarda Moura. Hardy comes into this fight with a ton of momentum, winning his last three fights, while Moura suffered his first career loss when he dropped a close split in his last fight. With that said, ctry our UFC odds series for our Hardy-Moura prediction and selection.

Veronica Hardy (9-4-1) has had a bit of a career resurgence ever since her lopsided loss to Bea Malecki back in 2020. After a three-year hiatus, she’s rattled off three straight wins with her most recent win coming against JJ Aldrich. Now Hardy will look to extend her longest UFC winning streak when she takes on Eduarda Moura this weekend at UFC 309.

Eduarda Moura (10-1) secured her UFC contract after a dominant performance at the 2023 Contender Series. She looked good in her UFC debut as she secured a second-round submission, but her hype was somewhat halted after a loss to Denise Gomes and after that loss and back to – back misses on the scale, she will take her talents to the flyweight division. Now “Ronda” will show her skills in her new weight class when she takes on Veronica Hardy at Madison Square Garden this weekend.

Here is UFC 309 oddscourtesy of DraftKings.

UFC 309 Odds: Veronica Hardy-Eduarda Moura Odds

Veronica Hardy: -135

Eduarda Moura: +114

Over 2.5 rounds: -330

Under 2.5 rounds: +240

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Why Veronica Hardy Will win

• Last Game: (W) JJ Aldrich – DEC
• Last 5: 4-1
• Finish: 3 (1 KO/TKO/2 SUB)

Veronica Hardy looks to make a statement against Eduarda Moura at UFC 309, thanks to her impressive momentum and strategic thinking. Currently riding a three-fight winning streak, Hardy has demonstrated significant growth in her skills since returning to the octagon after a three-year hiatus. Her recent performances, especially her unanimous decision victory against JJ Aldrich, show her striking accuracy and ability to absorb pressure. Hardy’s approach emphasizes continuous improvement and adaptability, which is crucial when facing a formidable opponent like Moura, who is coming off his first career loss.

Also, the fights at Madison Square Garden add an emotional edge for Hardy, who trains in New York and has expressed excitement about competing in such a legendary venue. That home advantage could improve her performance as she aims for a fourth straight win. While Moura has shown promise with a strong record, Hardy’s experience and recent success make her the favorite in this matchup. Ultimately, Hardy’s focus on skill development and her current form should lead her to victory this weekend.

Why Eduarda Moura Will win

• Last match: (V) Denise Gomes – DEC
• Last 5:4-1
• Finish: 9 (4 KO/TKO/5 SUB)

Eduarda Moura is set to defeat Veronica Hardy at UFC 309, and several factors contribute to her potential success. Moura boasts an impressive 10-1 record that shows her ability to finish fights with a mix of striking and grappling skills. Despite her recent loss to Denise Gomes, she has a track record of five submissions and four knockouts, indicating her ability to secure decisive wins. Her striking accuracy stands at 57%, significantly higher than Hardy’s 45%, suggesting that Moura can exploit openings more effectively during exchanges.

Additionally, Moura’s physicality may give her an advantage in this matchup. Standing at 5’6″ with a 66-inch reach, she has the height and reach advantage over Hardy, who is 5’4″ with a 64-inch reach. This could allow Moura to keep his distance while landing significant strikes. Furthermore, her fights are where Moura will shine as she has the ability to take down the smaller Hardy and dominate her on the mat until she finds the opening to sync in the submission and record the 11th win of her career.

Final Veronica Hardy-Eduarda Moura Prediction & Pick

This should be a good time to start this monumental UFC 309 PPV event. Hardy has never looked better and has really grown over the years to become a more complete mixed martial artist meanwhile Moura will have to do a better job of keeping up with the pace and potentially moving up to a new weight class can do well for her UFC career. Usually when a fighter moves up in weight they lose the size advantage they once had, but not Moura, she will still have the clear size advantage over Hardy which will definitely help in this matchup. Ultimately, while Hardy is going to have the speed and technical advantage, it will be Moura’s fight that will negate that advantage as she will be relentless with her takedowns until she eventually finds the submission and gets back on track this weekend.

Final Veronica Hardy-Eduarda Moura Prediction and pick: Eduarda Moura (+114), under 2.5 rounds (+240)