Commanders-Eagles Betting Preview (Odds, Lines, Best Bets)

• WR AJ Brown, Philadelphia Eagles — over 80.5 receiving yards: Since returning from injury in Week 6, the Eagles receiver has 14 receptions of 15-plus yards en route to a position-leading 90.5 PFF receiving grade.

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Expected reading time: 3 minutes

Game overview

Week 11 kicks off with an NFC East divisional matchup between the Commanders and Eagles.

Philadelphia hosts a Commanders team coming off a heartbreaking loss to the AFC North-leading Steelers in a game that slipped through their fingers in the waning moments after inside linebacker Johnny Newton jumped offside on a crucial fourth down -and-1. That loss also marks the first time since Week 1 that Washington hasn’t covered or pressured the spread.

Offensive production has slowed a touch for the Commanders in recent weeks compared to the insane efficiency they displayed in the first half of the season. Over the past three games, the offense has generated a touchdown on 21.9% of its drives – below the league average and down significantly from its second-ranked 34.4% rate through the first seven weeks.

That could pose a problem against an Eagles defense that has climbed to the top tier of the NFL. Through September, Philadelphia maintained the 20th-ranked unit in overall team defensive rating, but the unit has risen to PFF’s highest-ranked defense in the NFL (86.1) through 10 weeks.

The Eagles’ defense is strong at every level and has a top-eight rated player at each. Slot cornerback Cooper DeJean tops the position with an 85.9 PFF coverage grade. Along the front seven, linebacker Zack Baun owns the third-highest overall grade (86.4) at the position. And second year inside linebacker Jalen Carter has the second-highest pass-rushing grade (87.7) among interior players.

Interestingly, Philadelphia has yet to cover at home this year (0-3) and has just a 3-4 record against the spread as a favorite.

After a matchup with a tough Pittsburgh defense last week — one they nearly shut down — Jayden Daniels and the company will have an opportunity to correct those mistakes and prove they can compete against playoff defenses on their turf.

WR AJ Brown, Philadelphia Eagles: Over 80.5 receiving yards (-110)

Coverage issues prompted Washington to trade for cornerback Marshon Lattimore at the deadline, but the team has yet to see the talented cornerback on the field as he nurses a hamstring injury. The Commanders remain outmatched and undermanned in the secondary without Lattimore in the fold.

While headlines surrounding the late offsides dominated the news cycle after last week’s loss, it was half-overlooked that cornerback Benjamin St-Juste surrendered what would be a game-winning 32-yard touchdown to the Steelers’ Mike Williams on third-and-9 with less than 2:30 left. A stop that would have potentially sealed the win for Washington.

St-Juste has endured his share of struggles in coverage this year, maintaining just a 49.4 PFF coverage grade to rank 98th out of 108 qualifying cornerbacks. That’s largely due to surrendering 15 receptions of 15-plus yards, most in the NFL.

And now he has to contend with guarding one of the most physical deep-ball receivers in the league in AJ Brown. Since returning from injury in Week 6, the Eagles receiver has 14 receptions of 15-plus yards en route to a position-leading 90.5 PFF receiving grade.