Georgia Bulldogs vs. Ole Miss Rebels Prediction: Odds, Expert Picks, QB Matchup, Betting Trends & Stats

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Georgia (7-1) steamrolled Clemson 34-3 in the opener before being pushed to the brink by Kentucky to open 3-0. But a disastrous interception-laden first half for QB Carson Beck sank their bid to defeat Alabama in Week 4. The Dawgs bounced back to shut out Texas 30-15 while holding the Longhorns to just 29 rushing yards and overcoming three more interceptions from the QB Carson Beck. They overcame a first half scare from Florida last week to close out a 34-20 victory and are currently ranked 3rd nationally in SP+. Georgia still has to battle @Ole Miss and Tennessee the next two games before their path to the CFP Playoff is complete.

Ole Miss (7-2) just rolled with a dominant 4-0 against a group of lower-tier non-conference opponents before running into a Kentucky team that held the ball for 40 minutes and trailed Ole Miss by 20. -17 losses. Does that sound familiar? Their second loss came courtesy of @LSU in a dramatic 29-26 overtime heartbreaker in which Ole Miss held a 7-point lead before Garrett Nussmeier led a 13-play, 75-yard drive to tie the game in regulation. Mississippi likely needs to sweep their last three games against UGA/@Florida/Miss State to reach the CFP Playoff, with SP+ estimating their current probability at 39.8%.

NBC Sports has all the latest information and analysis you need, including how to tune in for kickoff, odds from BetMGM, player news and updates, and of course our predictions and best bets for the game from our staff of experts.

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Game details and how to watch Georgia @ Ole Miss

· Date: Saturday 9 November 2024
· Time: 3:30 PM EST
· Venue: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
· City: Oxford, MS
· TV/Streaming: ABC/ESPN+

Want to watch the other games? College football schedule this week? We’ve got you covered right here on NBC Sports with all the matchup, venue, game time and TV/streaming info so you don’t miss a thing!

Georgia @ Ole Miss betting odds

The latest odds from Friday morning courtesy of BetMGM:

  • Money line: Georgia (-140), Ole Miss (+115)
  • Spread: Georgia -2.5
  • Over/Under: 54.5 points

The Georgia line opened in the early markets at Georgia -7, but that has adjusted dramatically to the current -2.5 across the board. Best moneyline prices are -132 for UGA and +126 for the Rebels. The overall game hadn’t moved much from 54.5 open, although we are seeing recent moves to 55 in some places.

NBC Sports Betting Best Bets

NBC Sports Betting Analyst Eric Froton (@CFFroton) opines:

“I have a feeling that a combination of Ole Miss’ #7 ranked D on one side and Georgia’s #7 ranked defense on the other, along with a few key injuries lingering on each team’s offense, could lead to a suppressed scoring result. I lean under 54.5 points, but I’m not strong on it.”

Listen to the Bet the Edge podcast as hosts Jay Croucher and Drew Dinsick provide listeners with sharp actionable insights, market analysis and statistical data to help players gain more information before placing their bets.

BetMGM College Football Insights: National Championship

Line Movement (Last Week to Present)

  • Ohio State +450 to +350
  • Miami +1800 to +1100
  • Indiana +5000 to +3500

Biggest liabilities

  • Ohio State
  • Tennessee
  • Colorado

Quarterback matchup for Georgia @ Ole Miss

  • Georgia: Heading into the season, QB Carson Beck led all returning FBS signal callers with 3,949 passing yards and a 2nd-ranked 91.5 PFF offensive grade. He emerged as a Heisman frontrunner, opening with 4-to-1 odds to win college football’s most coveted award, but the quality of his play has increased with Beck throwing at least two interceptions in four of those last five games. While his 78.% PFF offensive grade and 11 interceptions are concerning, Beck has led Georgia to 30+ points in all but one of their games and will be heavily reliant on RB Travis Etienne pounding up.
  • Ole Miss: QB Jaxson Dart followed HC Lane Kiffin from USC to Oxford, MS, where he has started 35 games and accounted for 9,533 total passing yards and 87 touchdowns. He is in the midst of another standout campaign, averaging career highs with a 71.6% completion rate, 355 passing yards per game. game, 11.6 yards per attempts and 254 rushing yards. Ole Miss ranks 3rd in EPA/dropback and 7th in pass success rate while playing the 39th toughest schedule. His 92.5 PFF passer rating leads the nation, making the matchup between Beck and Dart a must-watch affair this Saturday.

Betting trends and latest statistics

  • Carson Beck is averaging 36.2 pass attempts per game. game this season, which is second-best among qualified SEC quarterbacks. Ole Miss’ defense has faced an average of 35.4 pass attempts per game this season, the highest among SEC defenses.
  • Georgia’s offensive line leads the nation in pressure rate allowed at 18.1% and ranks 17th in sack percentage (3.1%). But they also average 4.1 penalties a game, which ranks 93rd overall.
  • Ole Miss’ primary offensive weapon, WR Tre Harris, has not seen the field since Oct. 12 and is considered questionable to play against UGA.
  • The Ole Miss defensive line terrorizes opposing quarterbacks averaging 34.7% (3rd in FBS) and 11% sacks per. dropback (2nd).

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