Miami Heat at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

On November 9, 2024By Littum

The Miami Heat (3-4) are on their way Friday evening towards Denver Nuggets (5-3). Tip-off from the Ball Arena is at 9 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the BetMGM Sportsbook NBA odds around Heat vs. Nuggets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season Series: First Meeting; The Nuggets won the series 2-0 last season

The Heat have lost 2 straight and 3 of their last 4. They are coming off a 115-112 road loss to the Phoenix Suns on Wednesday, but they covered the 5-point spread as underdogs.

The Nuggets have won 3 straight and last played Wednesday, a 124-122 home win over the Oklahoma City Thunder as 7-point underdogs.

Heat to Nuggets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting for a complete list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 10:11 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Heat +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Nuggets -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Heat +3.5 (-115) | Nuggets -3.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 223.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Heat on Nuggets key injuries

Heat

G Tyler Hero (back) available
F Jaime Jaquez Jr. (restoration) questionable
F Kevin Love (repair) out

Nuggets

F Vlatko Cancar (ankle) out
F Aaron Gordon (calf) out
G Jamal Murray (concussion) questionable

For the latest updates: Official NBA Injury Report.

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Heat at the Nuggets picks and predictions

Forecast

Heat 124, Nuggets 118

Moneyline

The Nuggets have won 3 straight at home after starting the season 0-2 at the Ball Arena.

Heat C Bam Adebayo shot just 5-for-21 against Phoenix on Wednesday. He will bounce back even if he has to face C Nikola Jokic defensively.

Miami will need to slow down a Denver offense that has scored over 120 points in 3 straight games. But the Nuggets have also allowed 119 points or more in 5 of their last 6 games.

INSERTION HEAT (+125).

Against the spread

The Heat are 2-2 ATS as underdogs, with both covers being outright wins.

The Nuggets have been favored 6 times this season. They are 1-5 ATS in those games, though only 2 ATS losses were straight.

But when expecting a Miami straight-up win, the spread here makes less sense because of the plus odds on the money line.

PASS.

Over/Under

The Over has hit in the Nuggets’ last 6 games. They have scored over 120 points themselves in 3 games in a row and in 5 of the last 6 contests. Their opponents are averaging 117.2 points per game. match.

SET OVER 223.5 (-110).

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