Maple Leafs vs Islanders Prediction, picks and odds for tonight’s NHL game

On January 3, 2025By Littum

Toronto’s power play doesn’t score as much as it should, but when it does, Mitch Marner is often involved.

Jan 02, 2025 • 11:23 AM ET

• 4 min reading

Photo by – Imagn Images.

There are 12 games in the NHL, including an Eastern Conference showdown between the New York Islanders and the Toronto Maple Leafs at UBS Arena.

New York’s penalty kill is the worst in the league and my Maple Leafs vs. The Islanders look like Mitch Marner will put up a power-play point.

Find out more in my free NHL picks for January 2nd.

Maple Leafs vs Islanders Prediction

My Leafs pick
Mitch Marner Over 0.5 power play points (+240 at Sports Interaction)

My Leaf’s analysis
The New York Islanders’ penalty kill is struggling. Its current kill rate is just 63.9%, which drops to 55.5% on home ice.

The unit also seems to get worse as the season goes on. It operated at just 53% throughout December after allowing a power-play goal in seven of the last eight games.

The Toronto Maple Leafs have scored a goal on the man advantage in six of their last nine games, including Tuesday afternoon against this lowly Isles PK. Mitch Marner factored in that goal and has tallied his power-play point plug in five of his last nine games.

The skilled winger from the Leafs leads the Leafs with 20 points on the power play. Considering Toronto’s PP has only lit the lamp 23 times, that’s pretty remarkable.

If the Leafs get a few opportunities tonight, Marner has a good chance to cash in on this plug again.

Maple Leafs vs Islanders parlay in same game (SGP)

Mitch Marner 2+ shots

Mitch Marner scores anytime

John Tavares scores anytime

Auston Matthews is out again, and Marner will be a much more trigger-happy player without 34 in the lineup. Marner has scored 10 of his 13 goals as AM34 sit out.

He averages 2.48 shots per game. game this season, but has had two or more shots in 10 of the 14 games with Matthews out, including four of his last five games.

John Tavares is currently riding an eight-game hitting streak and has scored in five of the last eight meetings against New York. I expect him to score tonight in front of a raucous Islander crowd.

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Maple Leafs vs Islanders odds

Maple Leafs vs Islanders live odds

Maple Leafs vs Islanders opening odds

Puck line: Toronto -1.5 (+195) | New York +1.5 (-263)
Moneyline: Toronto -120 | New York +100
Over/Under: Over 6 | Below 6

Odds courtesy of Sports Interaction

Maple Leafs vs Islanders trend

The Islanders are 7-14 on the money line on home ice this season. Find more NHL betting trends for Maple Leafs vs. Islanders.

How to watch Maple Leafs vs Islanders

Location:	UBS Arena, Elmont, NY
Date:	Thursday, 1-2-2025
Puck drop:	19:00 ET
TV:	HULU

Maple Leafs vs Islanders latest injuries

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