The S&P 500 rose sharply in 2024 despite a weak fourth quarter

A view of the ball drop during the Times Square New Year’s Eve 2025 celebration on December 31, 2024 in New York City.

TheStewartofNY | Movie Magic | Getty Images

This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, wherever they are. Do you like what you see? You can subscribe here.

What you need to know today

Closing party for markets
US stocks ended the last trading day of 2024 on a negative note, but they ended the year higher. Asia-Pacific markets fell on Tuesday in what was a shortened trading day for many exchanges. China’s CSI 300 ended the year 15% higher, snapping its three-year losing streak, although it lost 1.6% on the day.

Bitcoin to $200,000 by 2024?
Bitcoin broke the $100,000 level in December 2024 after Donald Trump, widely seen as friendly to the cryptocurrency, won the US election. Industry leaders and crypto investors see strong momentum for bitcoin, with several predicting it will rise to $200,000 this year.

Nippon Steel offers US veto power
Fate for Nippon Steel’s planned acquisition of US Steel rests on US President Joe Biden, who has until January 7 to decide. In an effort to persuade Biden, Nippon Steel has offered to give the US government veto power over any cuts to US Steel’s production capacity, Reuters reported, citing a source familiar with the matter.

The price of the AI ​​model was reduced by Alibaba
Alibaba is cutting prices on its visual language model by up to 85%, the company announced Tuesday. The model, called Qwen-VL, is designed to understand both text and images. Alibaba’s move signals growing competition between Chinese tech giants as they aim to gain market share for their artificial intelligence products.

(PRO) Top and bottom stocks in 2024
The Magnificent Seven basket of shares has drifted S&P 500 through most of 2024. But only one of them earned a podium finish in the year’s top three performing stocks — and it didn’t even win a gold medal. The three worst performing stocks surprisingly included a market leader in technology.

Bottom line

A brilliant start, a limp middle and then a flat dunk – that was the pitch for S&P 500 last year.

The broad-based index burst through the gates right from the start of 2024. In the first quarter of the year, it rose 10.2 per cent. That’s more than 10 times the average gain since 2000, CNBC’s Robert Hum noted.

That momentum could not be sustained. The S&P added 3.9% and 5.5% in the second and third quarters of 2024, respectively. In any other year, investors might not have been disappointed by these numbers. But the index’s performance in the first quarter set the bar so high that subsequent quarters seemed to pale in comparison.

In the last quarter of 2024, the S&P lagged only 1.9 per cent. To make matters worse, someone out there was naughty and prevented Santa from carrying out his typical year-end rally in the stock market.

Of course, a win is a win. But it’s hard not to feel disappointed when you look back at the high we started 2024 at, or when you compare it to the average fourth-quarter gain of 4.2% since 2000.

That said, a relatively weak end to the year wasn’t enough to derail the S&P’s gains in 2024. The index rose 23.31% in 2024 — with 57 record closes along the way — after a 24.2% gain in 2023.

Artificial intelligence stocks were behind much of 2024’s gains. Shares of Nvidia shot up by 171%, while Broadcomwhich one portfolio manager called “the next Nvidia in terms of outperformance potential,” jumped 108%.

But uncertainty awaits the markets this year. Investors will have to contend with the incoming Trump administration’s policies, possibly higher-than-expected interest rates for the year, which in turn keeps Treasury yields elevated, among other headwinds.

The start of 2025 can be bumpy. Buckle up.

— CNBC’s Robert Hum, Jesse Pound, Gina Francolla and Samantha Subin contributed to this report.