ESPN’s FPI predicts the outcome of the Week 14 Battle Line Rivalry

ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI) predicts the outcome of each college football game before each weekend. Somehow 13 weeks have already flown by and now the model has been updated to rivalry week.

In Battle Line Rivalry, the model sees Missouri as the favorite, giving the Tigers a 67.1% chance to win the game. That means the Razorbacks get just a 32.9% chance to pull off the upset in Columbia.

Battle Line Rivalry’s first meeting was back in 1903. The game got its name from the dividing line between the states that separated the North and South during the American Civil War. The teams have only played 15 times since then due to being in different conferences for most of that time. These rivals last met in 2023 when the Tigers won in a blowout, 48-14.

Overall, the Tigers have 11 wins in the series, while the Razorbacks have 4. The last win for the Razorbacks in the series came in 2021, when the team won 34-17 at home.

Entering this game, the Tigers have an 8-3 record. The team’s 3 losses came to Texas A&M, Alabama and South Carolina. The Razorbacks, meanwhile, enter the game with a 6-5 overall record. The Razorbacks’ signature win came against Tennessee back in October.

On offense, the Razorbacks have the edge in this game. The Razorbacks have the No. 1 overall offense. 9 in the country, while the Tigers have the unit no. 61. However, the Tigers have the advantage in defence, as the team boasts the no. 21. The Razorbacks have the No. 1 total defense. 66 through 13 weeks.

This match starts from Memorial Stadium on Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET. Missouri is a 3-point favorite via ESPN Bet.