College Football Playoff Ranking Prediction, Week 14 Bracket

The fourth 2024 College Football Playoff rankings will be released tonight, Tuesday, Nov. 26, and things are bound to change after seven ranked teams lost last weekend. Before the CFP committee unveils the next rankings, I predict where the top 25 teams will land, along with the bracket.

Note that these are my predictions and mine alone. I look at head-to-head results, strength of schedule, matchups against ranked teams and more to help rank the teams as I believe the CFP committee will. You can read the CFP Committee’s official minutes here.

2024 College Football Playoff Rankings Predictions: Fourth Top 25 Predictions

These predictions are as of Sunday, November 23rd.

1. Oregon (11-0) LW: 1 — Oregon remains on top after a bye.
2. Ohio State (10-1) LW: 2 — Ohio State bolstered its team at No. 2 after another top-five win.
3. Texas (10-1) LW: 3 — Texas defeated Kentucky and remains the top-ranked SEC team.
4. Penn State (10-1) LW: 4 — Penn State escaped Minnesota with a win. Although it wasn’t pretty, the Nittany Lions will be the no. 4.
5. Notre Dame (10-1) LW: 6 — Notre Dame could make a case to move into the top four after a dominating ranked win against Army, but I think the committee will keep the Fighting Irish fifth after comparing ranked losses.
6. Miami (Fla.) (10-1) LW: 8 — Miami defeated Wake Forest and will move over teams that lost last week.
7. Georgia (9-2) LW: 10 — Georgia beat UMass and advances this week.
8. Tennessee (9-2) LW: 11 — Tennessee is back in the playoff picture after a shutout of UTEP.
9. Indiana (10-1) LW: 5 — Indiana falls to no. 9 after his first loss. That’s behind some two-loss teams with better wins, but with just one loss, the Hoosiers remain in the top 10.
10. Boise State (10-1) LW: 12 — Boise State beat Wyoming by four points. The close win keeps it behind Indiana, though its UNLV win is better than any win by the Hoosiers.
11. SMU (10-1) LW: 13 — SMU is finally in the playoffs now that two more SEC teams have three losses.
12. Alabama (8-3) LW: 7 — Alabama will be the highest-ranked three-loss team this week thanks to its earlier win over South Carolina. The Tide aren’t completely out of the playoffs, but they won’t be in the bracket this week.
13. Ole Miss (8-3) LW: 9 — Ole Miss has a floor — for this week — thanks to a head-to-head win over South Carolina.
14. Clemson (9-2) LW: 17 — Clemson moves up thanks to losses from other teams. However, the Tigers were blown out by a Georgia team that Alabama and Ole Miss beat, so they remain behind the Tide and Rebels.
15. South Carolina (8-3) LW: 18 — A win over Wofford keeps South Carolina in the playoff bubble.
16. Arizona State (9-2) LW: 21 — Arizona State could be higher after beating the No. 14 in the country, but the Sun Devils were three spots behind South Carolina in the previous rankings. The committee thought South Carolina was better last week, and I don’t think a win over a sliding BYU team changes that.
17. Tulane (9-2) LW: 20 — Tulane had a bye last week and was set to move into the teens this week.
18. Iowa State (9-2) LW: 22 — Iowa State outlasted Utah to keep its Big 12 hopes alive.
19. Texas A&M (8-3) LW: 15 — Texas A&M falls but remains above a Missouri team it dominated when it met.
20. Missouri (8-3) LW: 23 — Missouri should move into the top 20 this week after a win over Mississippi State.
21. BYU (9-2) LW: 14 — Back-to-back losses will move BYU to no. 20. The Cougars dropped eight spots last week, so it’s clear the committee didn’t think highly of them.
22. UNLV (9-2) LW: 24 — UNLV moves up after a win over San Jose State
23. Illinois (8-3) LW: 25 — Illinois remains ranked behind its unlikely victory over Rutgers.
24. Colorado (8-3) LW: 16 — Colorado will fall this week, but I think a team in Big 12 title contention will still be ranked.
25. Syracuse (8-3) LW: NR — Syracuse enters the rankings as a three-loss team from the ACC. The Orange have a win over UNLV on their resume.

CFP: College Football Playoff rankings are released

What the bracket could look like

First team away: No. 12 Alabama, No. 13 Ole Miss, No. 14 Clemson, No. 15 South Carolina

Notable questions about College Football Playoff standings

Where does Indiana land?

Much has been made of where Indiana would land if it lost to Ohio State since the initial College Football Playoff rankings came out. Of course, that was before losses to Alabama and Ole Miss. Indiana will likely remain in the projected playoff field, but will a one-loss Indiana fall behind two-loss SEC teams?

LAST WEEK’S RECAP: Florida upsets No. 9 Ole Miss, no. 2 Ohio State finishes no. 5 Indiana’s Unbeaten Streak and More

Do three-loss teams have a real shot at the playoffs?

Alabama and Ole Miss now have three losses. How far will they fall? Both schools have a notable win over Georgia that could still hold weight in the eyes of the committee.

Could the Big 12 miss the playoffs?

Arizona State is the highest ranked Big 12 team. However, the conference may not have a team ranked in the top 15 this week. With none of the Big 12’s ranked teams playing each other in Week 14, the conference is a few upsets away from not having the fifth-highest ranked conference champion.