Today’s Best NFL Picks and Predictions for Week 12 (Bet the UNDER on Sunday Night Footb

We’re just hours away from the first kickoff for today’s NFL action. It’s a relatively small slate of six-team games on the BYE, but today’s matchups will serve as a perfect warm-up for next week’s Thanksgiving Day schedule.

If you’re looking for a few bets to place today, you’ve come to the right place. I have something for everyone, including a bet on a favorite, an underdog and an overall.

Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

Broncos -5.5 (-110) vs. Raiders

This AFC West game is a terrible matchup for the Las Vegas Raiders. Their offense has arguably been the worst in the NFL, ranking dead last in EPA per. game and 29th in yards per game. game (4,7). Now they face a Broncos defense that ranks third in opponent EPA, fifth in opponent success rate and allows the fewest yards per carry. snap (4,6).

Bo Nix has made a push for Offensive Player of the Year, and now he will face another bad defense that he will be able to exploit. The Raiders pass rush has been non-existent lately and they won’t find an easy path to the quarterback against one of the better offensive lines in football.

Every sign points to the Broncos running away with the win this afternoon.

Titans +310 vs. Texans

It’s a bold call, but if you want to bet on a big underdog to pull off the upset today, I think the Titans are a good look at north of 3-1 odds against a Texans team coming off a short week.

Houston has struggled offensively this season, ranking 20th in the NFL in EPA per. game and 30th in success rate. They could struggle against a Titans defense that has been surprisingly good this season and should be able to take advantage of an underperforming Texans offensive line.

Titans punters will need Will Levis to step up and have a big game, but in a rivalry game between division foes, don’t be shocked if the Titans come out on top.

Eagles vs. Rams UNDER 48.5 (-105)

In this week’s edition of the “Road to 272 Bets,” I broke down why the UNDER on Sunday Night Football might not just be my best bet of the week, but it’s one of my favorite bets of the season:

The Eagles and Rams have been extremely impressive on defense the last handful of weeks. Going back to Week 6, they rank first and third in the NFL in opponent EPA per. game and first and sixth in opponent success rate. The Eagles’ secondary has been dominant, holding teams to a league-leading 5.5 yards per carry. pass attempts, while the Rams can thank their pass rush, which ranks sixth in pressure rate.

I’m not that sold on the Rams offensively. Even if they’re healthy now, Matthew Stafford hasn’t had his best stuff at times this season, ranking 21st in EPA+CPOE composite, and they’ve also struggled to score touchdowns. They’ve scored a touchdown on just 50% of red zone trips, the eighth-worst mark in the league.

Many of their offensive problems are caused by their running game. It’s taken a big step back this season as they’ve averaged just 3.8 yards per carry. rush, which is 30th in the NFL.

While your first impression of these two teams may be high-powered offenses, both teams have actually been more impressive on the defensive side of the ball. I take UNDER on Sunday Night Football.

Odds are updated regularly and are subject to change.

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You can check it all out Iain’s bet here!