76ers vs Heat prediction, picks and odds for tonight’s NBA game

Very little has gone to plan for the Philadelphia 76ers this season, and it doesn’t get any easier with a visit to the Miami Heat tonight.

While it’s too early to hit the panic button, Philadelphia has dug a roughly 2-10 hole and my 76ers vs Heat predictions point to multiple matchups here, especially with Joel Embiid listed as questionable.

Read on for my NBA picks as these Eastern Conference rivals square off in this November 18 showdown.

76ers vs Heat prediction

My best bet
Heat -4.5 (-110 at bet365)

My analysis
Both teams must be concerned when looking at the standings. With the Cleveland Cavaliers and Boston Celtics leaving the rest of the East behind, and other teams emerging in the top six, will things add up for the Miami Heat and Philadelphia 76ers this year?

Once again, we won’t really be able to gauge where they stand from tonight’s game. Philadelphia arrives without Tyrese Maxey, and recent reports suggest Joel Embiid may also miss an illness.

That spells big trouble for a Philadelphia team that is 1-5 on the road this season and 3-7 ATS in its last 10 contests overall.

While the visitors have the advantage of rest, Miami has the edge in creating shots, and with Jimmy Butler potentially returning from an ankle injury tonight, I’m comfortable putting the points with the hosts.

The 3-point margin may be the deciding factor. The Heat shot 44% from 3-point range against the Indiana Pacers last night and are third in the league in 3-point percentage (39%), while the 76ers have the second-worst mark at 32%.

It’s not like Philadelphia just had some bad shutouts in close games, either—the visitors’ last five losses have all come by a margin of at least eight points. They shot just 40% from the field overall against the Orlando Magic on Friday, and I haven’t seen enough from Paul George to suggest he can carry the offense in heavy minutes.

Instead, this feels like a chance to bank on Miami’s superior depth, and I’m leaning on Bam Adebayo and Tyler Herro to propel the hosts back toward .500 here.

76ers vs Heat parlay in same game

Heat -4.5

Bam Adebayo Over 0.5 threes

Kyle Lowry Over 2.5 assists

The Heat will take all the distance they can get — and that includes Adebayo spotting up from beyond the arc. Adebayo has been more willing to let fly from deep, going 5-for-8 on 3-pointers in his last three games.

He’s always been a capable jump shooter, and I’m betting we’ll see more experiments with his range, with at least one dropping in. Butler’s return would help, given the crowd he typically draws in the paint and the opportunities for kickoffs to shooters.

Kyle Lowry and Caleb Martin were on the Heat last season and have been thrust into starting roles for the depleted 76ers when both are better suited to the second unit. Still, it means more options in the market for NBA player props.

I’ll take this adjusted 2.5 line for Lowry’s assists. He has had three or more dimes in six of his last seven games, and Philadelphia is so dependent on the veteran’s steady play without Maxey. Even if Lowry’s minutes are shortened for this back-to-back outing, this is an Over he can hit.

Learn how to bet on the same game with these helpful tips and strategies.

76ers vs Heat odds

76ers vs Heat live odds

76ers vs Heat opening odds

• Spread: Philadelphia +3 (-110) | Miami -3 (-110)
• Moneyline: Philadelphia +125 | Miami -150
• Over/Under: Over 219.5 (-110) | Under 219.5 (-110)

Odds provided by bet365

76ers vs Heat spread and Over/Under analysis

• Philadelphia comes in as a 4.5-point underdog, and that line could rise if Butler is available for Miami.
• Three of the Heat’s last five losses have come by three points or fewer.
• Although the 76ers have won the last three matchups between these teams, the Heat are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
• Miami has hit Over in three straight games and five of six.

76ers vs Heat trend

The Heat have cashed the 1H moneyline in 26 of their last 41 games. Find more NBA betting trends for 76ers vs. Heat.

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