Free picks and player props on November 16th


This article is part of our NBA Picks series.

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Lakers vs. Pelicans: Lakers to win and both teams not to score 100 points +325 @ bet365

The Lakers are the better team than the Pelicans, and there should be no doubt about that. An argument could be made that both teams would be closer to quality if the Pels had been healthy, but that is not the case right now. They will prepare for this game without the likes of Zion Williamson (hamstring), CJ McCollum (thigh), Jordan Hawkins (back), Herbert Jones (shoulder), Dejounte Murray (hand) and Jose Alvarado (hamstring). The Pelicans field a bunch of rookies, unproven players and journeyman G Leaguers along with Brandon Ingram in the starting unit. That should be enough to make the Lakers the favorites here, even if they are playing in the second half of a back-to-back set.

Tired legs could be a problem for the Lakers, who are coming off a 120-115 win over the Spurs on Friday and will be on the road again, where the Lakers tend to struggle. Los Angeles has reached 100 points in points scored and allowed in every game this season, but the Pelicans have not. New Orleans has been held under 100 points in two of their last four contests, and three of the last four have seen at least one team fall short of the 100-point plateau. That could be the case again at the Smoothie King Center on Saturday.

Spurs vs. Mavericks: Victor Wembanyama made over 2.5 three pointers -115 @ bet365

Wembanyama has been on an absolute tear in recent games. He is coming off a 28-point, 14-rebound performance in the 120-115 loss to the Lakers on Friday and turned in a 50-point performance earlier this week against the Wizards. Through three games this week, the French phenom is averaging 37.3 points, 11.3 rebounds, 4.3 assists and 2.7 blocks per game while shooting 56.6 percent from the field and 43.9 percent from three-point range. This time, we’ll focus on his revamped three-point shooting as he becomes more and more confident shooting the rock from beyond the arc.

Wembanyama should continue his streak of games with at least three three-pointers, something he has accomplished in each of his last four appearances. He’s also gone five straight and seven of his previous nine with multiple made threes, so this is undoubtedly an established feature in his offensive arsenal. The fact that he’s attempted double-digit threes in his last three contests also bodes well for this matchup, as he would have a distinct advantage playing on the perimeter whether he’s matched up against Daniel Gafford or Dereck Lively. Look for Wemby to extend his impressive streak from beyond the arc with another dominant effort in this state rivalry.

Kings vs. Suns: John Collins records over 27.5 points, rebounds and assists -115 @ bet365

Few players have seen a jump in their offensive game as noticeably as Collins over the past week in The Association. The veteran big moved into a starting role due to the absence of Walker Kessler (hip) and has thrived for a rebuilding Utah team. He posted 29 points, 10 rebounds, four assists and three steals in the Nov. 12 loss to the Suns and followed that effort with a 28-point, nine-rebound, three-assist, two-steal effort in the win over the Mavericks. A rematch against the Suns – and Jusuf Nurkic – awaits him on Saturday.

Collins has scored in double figures in each of the 11 games he has played this season, whether starting or coming off the bench. He’s also grabbed at least five rebounds in all but one of those instances, and he’s dished out multiple assists eight times. He can fill up the stat sheet on any given game and should have no problem reaching the 27.5 P+R+A line in this one. Aside from doing it in his two starts by a wide margin, he’s also reached that number in four of his last seven games overall, posting at least 25 P+R+A in two of the three where he fell short of 27.5 threshold.