Week 12 Picks & Odds, 11-15

Two struggling Big 12 teams look to keep their postseason hopes alive when the Arizona Wildcats (3-6) host the Houston Cougars (4-5) tonight at 7 p.m. 10:15 PM ET on FS1.

The Wildcats are favored by 1.5 points across our top sportsbooks despite losing five straight as we offer our Houston vs. Arizona prediction for this Friday night.

Meanwhile, the Cougars have won three of their last four games — including a victory over College Football Playoff odds-on contender Kansas State last week — while holding four of their last five opponents to 20 or fewer points.

Our Week 12 college football predictions assess whether Houston can shut down Noah Fifita and the struggling Wildcats this week.

Houston vs. Arizona betting split tonight

We’ve seen almost split action in this game, with the Cougars drawing 52% of the spread bets as the slim underdogs.

As a result, we’ve seen the lines creep in their favor at some of our top sports betting sites, although you can still grab Houston +1.5 if you like the value on the road dog tonight ahead of kickoff.

Best Houston vs. Arizona election

College football picks based on odds from our top college football betting sites. Odds are subject to change.

Houston vs. Arizona vs. the spread prediction: Week 12

Houston to cover the spread: +1.5 (-110)

Houston vs. Arizona opening odds:

  • Houston: +2.5 (-115)
  • Arizona: -2.5 (-105)

Both of these teams have struggled on the offensive side of the ball. The Cougars are averaging just 15.2 points per game this season, sixth worst in the nation. Meanwhile, the Wildcats aren’t much better, averaging just 22.1 points per game. match. And of late, the Wildcats have been even worse, averaging just 15.0 points per game. game over the past three weeks.

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This game will come down to defense, and the Cougars have a clear advantage on that side of the ball. They only allow 22.0 points per game. game this season, while the Wildcats are allowing 33.8. The Cougars have held four of their last five to 20 or fewer points, while the Wildcats have allowed at least 28 points in five consecutive games.

Despite the clear defensive advantage, this is still only a three-star game because the Cougars aren’t that good. They have scored more than 20 points just three times all season and have been shut out twice.

With 52% of bettors backing the Cougars right now, this spread is unlikely to get much further. Several sportsbooks have a spread of 1.5, with DraftKings offering the best price by a fairly wide margin.

Best odds: -110 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 52.38%

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Houston vs. Arizona’s best bet

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Noah Fifita Under 245.5 passing yards (-115)

Fifta has already passed for 2,234 yards this season, an average of 258.2 per game. He has thrown for at least 256 yards in four of five games during the Wildcats’ current losing streak. And yet he’s going to hit Under tonight.

The Cougars very quietly have one of the best pass defenses in football, allowing just 185.7 yards per game this season. This isn’t a matchup-based defense either. They held Avery Johnson of Kansas State to just 238 yards last week, and four games ago they held Josh Hoover of TCU to just 233 yards. Hoover has 3,233 yards this season.

The Wildcats have been a mess offensively of late, and while Fifita will likely throw a lot in this game, this is the second best pass defense he’s faced this season.

This plug is only available on two of our top sports betting sites. Since bet365 offers almost the same price for two more yards than FanDuel, it is the best place to bet.

Best odds: -115 via bet365 | Implied probability: 53.49%

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Houston vs Arizona odds

See all of this week’s college football odds and NCAAF results.

Houston vs. Arizona game info

  • When: Friday 15 Nov
  • Kickoff: 10:15 PM ET
  • Where: Arizona Stadium (Tucson, Ariz.)
  • How to watch: FS1
  • Weather: 63 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, wind 6 mph NW
  • Favorite: Arizona -1 (-110 via Caesars)

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