Who will win the election in Georgia? Donald Trump, Kamala Harris Updates

Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris both hope to win Georgia and take its 16 Electoral College votes.

The battleground state has been closely watched and contested, with the two major party candidates competing to secure its 16 electoral votes on the way to 270. The Cook Political Report rated the Georgia contest a “toss-up,” with most polls leading up to Nov. 5 by a slight margin favoring Trump.

The Peach State has a history of supporting Republican presidential candidates, but Joe Biden narrowly flipped the state in 2020. Before that, no Democratic candidate had won the state since Bill Clinton in 1992.

On Election Day, polls in Georgia are open for 12 hours, from 7 to 19 local time. If a voter is in line before the polls close, they have the legal right to remain in line and cast their vote.

Results will likely begin to be announced soon after the polls close, although it could be hours or days before the final result is known.

Stay tuned to this article for the latest updates.

Who won the state in 2016 and 2020?

The relatively new battleground state flipped in the last presidential election, with Biden winning by 0.2 points – just over 11,700 votes. Of the 4,997,716 votes cast, Biden secured 2,461,854 and Trump won 2,473,633, according to the Georgia Secretary of State’s office. The state had the second narrowest margin in the 2020 presidential election after Arizona.

In 2016, Trump beat former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton by more than 5 points, garnering 2,089,104 of the 4,092,373 votes. Clinton won 1,877,963 votes in the state.

What were the polls in Georgia?

Before Nov. 5, most polling averages showed Trump holding an advantage over Harris in the state.

An AtlasIntel poll of 1,212 likely voters on Oct. 30 and 31 found the former president up by 2 points in a head-to-head with Harris, 50 percent to 48 percent. Trump’s lead was within the poll’s margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

The poll found that Trump fared better among male voters, garnering 51 percent support compared to Harris’ 43 percent, while Harris outperformed Trump among women with 51 percent to Trump’s 46.5 percent.

In a poll by CNN and SSRS conducted between October 23 and 28, Trump was ahead of Harris 48 percent to 47 percent, according to responses from 732 registered voters. That difference is also within the poll’s margin of error of 4.7 percent.

A Quinnipiac University survey of 1,328 likely voters in the state conducted from Oct. 10 to 14 found Trump with a 7-point lead in the state, with 52 percent of respondents supporting him to 45 percent for Harris. The measurement had a margin of error of plus or minus 2.7 percentage points.

Polling aggregators also found Trump leading in the state, with New York Times shows Trump narrowly ahead 49 percent to 48 percent, a similar finding to Nate Silver’s Silver Bulletin, which put Trump at 48.9 percent to Harris’ 47.9 percent on Election Day.

Other aggregators found Trump ahead by larger margins. On November 5, The Hill has Trump with a 1.7 point lead.

Half of the ballots cast were from early voting

Half of Georgia’s 7,236,690 active registered voters cast their ballots before November 5. The Secretary of State’s office reported that 3,761,968 in-person early voting ballots were cast and 242,620 absentee ballots returned on November 2, for a total of 5,004 votes. .

The state reported that 92 Georgia counties exceeded 50 percent voter turnout ahead of Election Day.

Those early voting numbers broke records last week, toppling 2020, when five days before the election, about 2.3 million voters had cast an in-person ballot.

Trump and Harris repeatedly campaigned in Georgia

Both candidates have made repeated appearances in the state, returning just days before Election Day. Trump last appeared in the state on Nov. 3 and Harris on Nov. 2. Each appeared at state three times in October.

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