Here’s who is leading in the most important election campaigns in 2024

Pennsylvania: It couldn’t get closer—the candidates are tied at 48% in both a New York Times/Siena map out (margin of error 3.5 points) and a Morning Consult poll, along with three other tape last week, while Harris is ahead 50%-48% in a Marist vote and 48%-47% in a Washington Post voteand she is ahead 49%-48% in a big one Cooperative selection survey survey, though Trump is up 47%-46% on a Wednesday Quinnipiac vote. Trump leads Harris by 0.2 points in FiveThirtyEight’s poll average.

Georgia: Harris is ahead 48%-47% in the New York Times/Siena poll and Trump is up 50%-48% in the Morning Consult poll, while Trump has a 48%-47% lead on Thursday CNN/SSRS poll (margin of error 4.7), and he’s up by a more significant 51%-46% in the CES survey (2,663 respondents). Trump leads by 1.5 points in FiveThirtyEight’s poll average.

Michigan: Harris and Trump independents at 47% in New York Times/Siena map outalthough Harris is up 49%-48% in a Morning consultation opinion poll and 51%-48% i Marist vote along with three other investigations that found Harris in the lead, while Trump has a rare lead in one Washington Post poll released Thursday showing him up 47%-45% among registered voters, and he’s ahead 49%-48% in a Emerson study published Tuesday (margin of error 3 points). Harris is up 0.7 points in Michigan in FiveThirtyEight’s poll average.

Wisconsin: Harris is ahead 49%-47% in the New York Times/Siena vote50%-48% in Marist map out50%-47% in the CES survey (1,542 respondents), 51%-45% in CNN/SSRS poll and 50%-49% in one Marquette votewhile Trump has a lead of approximately one point (rounded to 48%-48%) according to Morning consultationTrump is up 49% to 48% in an Emerson map outand the two candidates are tied at 48% in a Quinnipiac vote. Harris is up 0.8 points in FiveThirtyEight’s average.

Nevada: New York Times/Siena vote shows Harris leading Trump 49%-46%, while Emerson vote published Friday found Harris ahead 48%-47% (margin of error 3.6 points), and she is up 51%-47% in CES map out (933 respondents), although Trump is ahead 48%-47% in a CNN/SSRS map out published Tuesday (margin of error 4.6 points). Trump is ahead by 0.7 points in FiveThirtyEights poll average.

Arizona: Trump leads 49%-45% in New York Times/Siena votehe is up 51%-47% in the CES poll (2,066 respondents) and he leads 50%-49% in a Marist vote released Oct. 24 (margin of error 3.7) and 49%-46% in a Washington Post-Schar school vote (margin of error 5), while Morning consultation shows a 48%-48% tie and Harris leads 48%-47% in one CNN/SSRS poll out this week (margin of error 4.4). Trump is up 2.6 points in FiveThirtyEights poll average.