Postseason probabilities entering Week 17 of the 2024 season

Heading into Week 17 of the 2024 NFL season, Ali Bhanpuri digs into the Next Gen Stats playoff probability model, which provides detailed estimates of each contending team’s postseason chances. During live play, playoff probabilities are dynamically updated every five minutes, incorporating the latest win probabilities from NGS for all ongoing games in each simulation. Visit NFL.com’s Playoff image for the latest postseason odds.

A few notes before we dig in: