Monday Football Tips: Back 9/2 Bet Builder in Serie A involving Moise Kean

Udinese defender Jaka Bijol (right) has been a regular fouler this season

Fiorentina vs UdineseMonday, December 23, 5:30 p.mLive on OneFootball

Christmas week has arrived, so let’s get the big question out of the way first – yes, there will be a props column every day!

It would obviously be great to start with a decent win and Monday’s early game in Italy’s Serie A offers a chance to land a 9/2 shot. The data certainly looks good, so here goes…

This game sees Fiorentina attempt to move back into the top four by beating ninth-placed Udinese.

The hosts boast the best defensive record in the league, with 11 conceded being the lowest of its kind in Serie A.

Despite their top half position, Udinese have won just six and lost eight of their 16 matches. With this in mind, a victory for La Viola at 4/7 or even a win ‘to nil’ on 11/8 is definitely worth considering.

The way I will side with the hosts is to back Moise Kean to score.

The former Everton man is in fine form and already has nine Serie A goals this season, 13 in all competitions.

In particular, his last three home starts have brought him six goals, so he should enjoy facing the worst defense in the top 12. Udinese have conceded more goals in four of their five games against the current top six, as well as against mid- table Roma and struggling Venezia.

The choice of referee also caught the attention ahead of this one, with Matteo Marcenaro taking charge.

He is fourth for cards in Serie A this season, averaging 5.2 yellow cards per game, and if the small sample of five games isn’t enough for you, he was also eighth in the whole of 2023/24 – the campaign.

Throw in his Serie B games and he has landed the over 5.5 card bet – 23/20 here – in seven of his eight games this season.

Only three Serie A teams have received more cards than Udinese, but with Fiorentina only in the middle of that table, I’ll take the safer option and add over 4.5 cards to our Bet Builder.

The final stage comes on a foul market, with the visitors’ Jaka Bijol getting the nod to commit at least one.

The Slovenian international centre-back has now made an error in eight of his last nine appearances, while over the season he has managed one in 14 in 18.

He will have Kean to deal with here, and the forward is Fiorentina’s dirtiest player on the “per game” metric, averaging 1.73 fouls per game. match. He has been fouled 2+ times in most of his starts this season.

Back Moise Kean to score, over 4.5 cards & Jaka Bijol to commit 1+ fouls @ about 9/2

Stake: 161 points Returned: 166.93 points P/L: +5.93 points

2023/24 P/L: +16.78 pts 2022/23 P/L: +68.69 pts