Falcons vs Raiders predictions, picks and best bets for Monday Night Football Week 15

Logan’s best bet: Drake London makes the most of soft matchup

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers

December 16, 2024 • 6:50 PM ET

• 4 min reading

Photo by – Imagn Images. Pictured: Drake London Atlanta Falcons

You don’t often go to Sin City to improve your luck, but mine Falcons vs. Raiders predictions As are Atlanta’s chances of snapping a four-game losing skid when they visit Las Vegas on Monday Night Football.

Oddsmakers have Atlanta pegged as a significant road favorite, and if it’s going to cover that spread, receiver Drake London will need to continue to have big games.

Here are my top NFL picks for Monday, Dec. 16, with kickoff scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET, live on ESPN.

Falcons vs Raiders MNF Prediction

My best bet
Drake London Over 64.5 receiving yards (-113 by FanDuel)

My analysis

Despite the Atlanta Falcons’ antics over the past four games, receiver Drake London continues to shine.

London has drawn 46 targets from QB Kirk Cousins, who has hauled in 25 receptions for a combined 314 yards in that span. That includes five catches on 10 targets for 70 yards in last week’s loss at Minnesota.

He has surpassed his receiving yards in three of those four outings and faces a yardage total of 64.5 O/U in Week 15.

The Las Vegas Raiders own one of the worst defenses in the NFL and are remarkably soft against the pass, ranking 27th in EPA allowed per. attempts and 26th place in opponents’ success rate per dropback. The Raiders have seen opposing quarterbacks boast an average passer rating of 98.4 against — the seventh-highest in the league.

Vegas mixes man and zone coverage in the secondary with the 12th-highest rate of man-to-man, which still ranks 32nd in team coverage in those schemes at PFF. London enters Week 15 as the No. 8 receiver versus man coverage, and player projections call for another solid effort from the Southern Cal product.

The models range from 69 yards to a ceiling of 78.5 yards from London on Monday Night Football, with my projection calling for 73 yards versus Las Vegas. That’s plenty of gains to get us past London’s total target of 64.5 O/U on MNF.

Falcons vs Raiders MNF same-game parlay (SGP)

FanDuel logo

Drake London Over 64.5 receiving yards

Drake London anytime TD

Kirk Cousins ​​​​Over 1.5 passing TDs

London draws a high number of passes and will take advantage of the Raiders’ soft man coverage.

London also sees a ton of targets in the red zone, and Las Vegas struggles to protect against passes there.

Cousins ​​hasn’t thrown a touchdown during this four-game stumble, but the drought is ending in Sin City, with projections leaning toward two TD throws.

Learn how to bet on the same game with these helpful tips and strategies.

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More Falcons vs Raiders picks from Covers


Falcons vs Raiders odds

Falcons vs Raiders live odds

Falcons vs Raiders opening odds

  • Spread: Atlanta -6.5 | Las Vegas +6.5
  • Moneyline: Atlanta -270 | Las Vegas +210
  • Over/Under: Above 41.5 | Below 41.5

Odds courtesy of FanDuel

Falcons vs Raiders spread and Over/Under analysis

• Oddsmakers opened Atlanta as a 6.5-point road favorite with Las Vegas QB Aidan O’Connell leaving Week 14 with a knee injury. Money immediately came in on the Raiders, knocking that spread down to as low as Atlanta -4.5.

• O’Connell’s status appeared questionable and the spread dropped to -3.5 before returning to the Falcons’ -5.5 prior to the week. While the Raiders get an extra day to rest, O’Connell has not practiced this week and Desmond Ridder looks more likely to get the start against his former club.

• Over/Under opened at 41.5 points and has slowly climbed to 44.5 O/U, pushing through key totals of 43 and 44 points this week.

Falcons vs Raiders betting trend to know

The Falcons are pure poison against AFC opponents. They are 4-10 SU and 3-11 ATS in non-conference games since 2022, including an 0-4 SU and ATS record versus the AFC this season. Those games have also gone 2-12 over/under. Find more NFL betting trends for Falcons vs. Raiders.

How to view Falcons vs Raiders game information

Location: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
Date: Monday 16-12-2024
Kickoff: 8:30 PM ET
TV: ESPN

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