Nuggets vs Mavericks Predictions: Odds, Expert Picks, Expected Starting Lineups, Betting Odds and Trends

On By Littum

Denver Nuggets and Dallas Mavericks meet in a drink on ESPN with Nikola Jokic expected back.

Dallas won three straight over San Antonio, Oklahoma City and New Orleans after losing four straight. Luka Doncic is out for tonight’s matchup after having a near triple-double of 24 points, 9 rebounds and 9 assists in the first meeting with Denver. Kyrie Irving will be counted as the primary scorer, as he is the favorite to lead the entire game in scoring at most sportsbooks.

Denver will be happy to have Nikola Jokic back as the offense hasn’t been quite the same without him. The Nuggets are coming off a win but lost the previous two games. Denver is 6-3 to start the month and looks to go 2-0 against Dallas after a 122-120 home win nearly two weeks ago.

With that said, let’s dive into the matchup and offer some information and possibly a sweat or two.

We’ve got all the information and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest information on how to catch opening tips, expected line-ups, recent team performance, player stats and of course our predictions, picks and best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

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Details and how to watch Mavericks @ Nuggets

● Date: Friday, November 22, 2024
● Time: 10:00 PM ET
● Location: Spectrum Center
● City: Denver, CO
● TV/Streaming: ESPN

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Mavericks @ Nuggets betting odds

The latest odds from Thursday afternoon:
● Moneyline: Denver Nuggets (-160), Dallas Mavericks (+135)
● Spread: Denver -4 (-110)
● Total: 225.5

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Likely starting lineups for Denver and Dallas

· Denver Nuggets (8-5)

PG Jamal Murray
SG Christian Braun
SF Michael Porter Jr.
PF Aaron Gordon
C Nikola Jokic — probable

· Dallas Mavericks (8-7)

PG Jaden Hardy — Luka Doncic is out
SG Kyrie Irving
SF Klay Thompson
PF PJ Washington
C Derek Lively

Top betting trends and insights to know ahead of Nuggets @ Mavericks

  • Dallas is 7-7-1 ATS this season and 2-1-1 ATS as an underdog.

  • Denver is 5-7-1 ATS this season and 2-6-1 ATS as a favorite, ranking 5th-worst.

  • Dallas is 8-7 under on the year and 4-0 under as an underdog, ranking No. 1 in the NBA.

  • Denver is 9-4 to Over, ranking 3rd best in the NBA.

  • Denver is 6-3 to Over as a favorite and ranks 9th best in the league.

  • Kyrie Irving had his five-game 20-plus point streak snapped last week.

  • Klay Thompson scored 19 points in the last game after totaling 14 in the previous two outings.

  • Jamal Murray is averaging 18.0 points per game. match over the last six outings.

Notable player props for the Nuggets @ Mavericks

Highest point props

  • Kyrie Irving O/U 26.5 Points

  • Nikola Jokic O/U 26.5 Points

  • Klay Thompson O/U 15.5 points

Highest rebounding props

  • Nikola Jokic O/U 12.5 Rebounds

  • Derek Lively O/U 7.5 rebounds

  • PJ Washington O/U 6.5 rebounds

  • Kyrie Irving O/U 4.5 rebounds

Supreme helper props

Expert picks and predictions for Nuggets @ Mavericks

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NBC Sports Betting Best Bets

Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) likes Nikola Jokic and the Nuggets to get the win, but the under 225.5 to cash:

“When Nikola Jokic has played this season, Denver’s offensive net rating is an NBA-record 125.8 compared to an NBA-worst 86.3, making him arguably one of the most important players in the last two decades.

Luka Doncic is out for Dallas, so Jokic and the Nuggets have an advantage in knocking off the surging Mavericks. Denver won the first meeting of the season 122-120, and without Doncic, I’m not sure Dallas will have enough offensive firepower to beat Denver, while the Nuggets will need some time to get into a flow with Jokic back in the mix .

The Mavericks have held their last three opponents to 93, 119 and 91 points, and the Nuggets allowed 101, 105 and 110 points in the same span. I like Under 225.5 as the best bet in this game.”

Here are the best bets our model projects for the Pistons and the Hornets:

· Moneyline: NBC Sports finds confidence to take on Denver at ML (-165)

· Spread: NBC Sports has strong confidence in Denver -4 on the spread

· Total: NBC Sports has low confidence for a game of UNDER 225.5 point total

Want even more NBA best picks and predictions from our expert staff and tools? Check out EXPERT NBA Predictions page from NBC Sports for the moneyline, spread and overall picks for each of the games on today’s calendar!

Follow our experts on social media to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

· Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
· Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
· Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
· Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)